Right-Wing Populism in Germany: Is the Precarious Youth Voting for AfD? Insight from Biographies and CATI Survey
Right-Wing Populism in Germany: Is the Precarious Youth Voting for AfD? Insight from Biographies and CATI Survey
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德国的右翼民粹主义：不稳定的年轻人是否投票支持德国选择党？
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发表时间：
2018
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Denis Neumann
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Vera Trappmann;Alexandra Seehaus;Denis Neumann
继其他欧洲国家之后，德国政治制度的右倾化最终表现在2017年德国新选择党（AfD）进入联邦议会。该党的出现和崛起过去和现在都伴随着一场关于其植根于德国社会的驱动力的激烈辩论。本文通过调查不稳定的生活状况与18-30岁德国年轻人发展右翼态度的可能性之间的联系，为这场辩论做出了贡献。研究结果是基于传记叙事访谈和一个有代表性的调查（N=1000）与年轻的德国人。我们没有发现任何实质性证据表明右翼态度与不稳定的生活状况之间存在重要联系。例外的情况是社会已经衰退，社会解体已到后期。在这种背景下，劳动力市场一体化的缺乏助长了对陌生人的怨恨，在竞争稀缺的福利资源的背景下。我们进一步证明了这一点，定量数据能够表明，一个客观的不稳定的生活状况并不能自动决定右翼情绪。定量数据表明，那些支持AfD的人并不认为自己是不稳定的，而且他们认为自己属于中产阶级。右翼态度主要是基于文化上的非自由主义态度模式和对未来社会衰落的恐惧。
Following the example of other European countries, the right-shift in the German political system found its final expression through the Alternative For Germany (AfD) entering the federal parliament in 2017. The emergence and rise of the party was and still is accompanied by a lively debate about its driving forces rooted in German society. This paper contributes to this debate by investigating the connection between precarious life situations and the likelihood of developing a right-wing attitude among young Germans between the age of 18-30. The findings are based on biographical narrative interviews and a representative survey (N=1000) with young Germans. We find no substantial evidence for a vital link between right-wing attitudes and a precarious life situation. Exceptional are cases where social decline is already experienced and social disintegration is at an advanced stage. Against this background, a lack of labor market integration fosters resentment against strangers in the context of a competition for scarce welfare resources. We further prove this with the quantitative data being able to show that an objective precarious life situation does not automatically determine right-wing sentiments. The quantitative data indicates that those who support the AfD do not perceive themselves as precarious, furthermore they consider themselves belonging to the middle class. Right-wing attitudes are predominantly based on cultural illiberalist attitude patterns and the fear of social decline in the future.