Why Voters Prefer Politicians With Particular Personal Attributes: The Role of Voter Demand for Populists
Why Voters Prefer Politicians With Particular Personal Attributes: The Role of Voter Demand for Populists
复制标题
DOI：
10.1177/00323217241263295
复制
发表时间：
2024-07-26
影响因子：
3.1
通讯作者：
Miwa，Hirofumi
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Miwa，Hirofumi
最近在民主国家进行的研究表明，选民通常更喜欢具有特定个人属性的候选人，例如女性和年轻人。然而，其中一些模式不一定能用选民对候选人能力的期望来解释。基于越来越多的文献，解决民粹主义的态度作为一个重要因素影响选民的政治偏好，本研究假设，候选人的个人属性塑造选民的看法，他们的民粹主义的态度，这种看法调解个人属性和选民偏好之间的关系。在日本进行的一项联合实验表明，一些个人属性对候选人的反精英主义和以人为本的观念有很大影响。另一项解开因果机制的实验表明，尽管没有定论，但年轻候选人更有可能受到青睐，因为选民期望他们有民粹主义倾向。在方法上，本研究说明了联合实验设计的进步，以阐明因果机制，并仔细讨论了必要的假设。
Recent studies in democratic countries suggest that voters generally prefer candidates with specific personal attributes, such as being female and young. However, some of these patterns cannot necessarily be explained by voters’ expectations of candidates’ competence. Building on a growing body of literature that addresses populist attitudes as an important factor influencing voters’ political preferences, this study hypothesizes that candidates’ personal attributes shape voters’ perceptions of their populist attitudes and that such perceptions mediate the relationship between personal attributes and voter preferences. A conjoint experiment conducted in Japan showed that several personal attributes substantially influenced candidates’ perceived anti-elitism and people-centrism. An additional experiment to disentangle causal mechanisms suggested that, albeit inconclusive, young candidates were more likely to be preferred because of voters’ expectations of their populist tendencies. Methodologically, this study illustrates advancements in the conjoint experiment design to elucidate causal mechanisms, with a careful discussion of necessary assumptions.