Quantifying the Impact of Trade Liberalization
Quantifying the Impact of Trade Liberalization
复制标题
量化贸易自由化的影响
DOI：
10.2753/ces1097-1475430306
复制
发表时间：
2010
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Mingtai Fan
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Mingtai Fan
中国于2001年加入世界贸易组织（WTO），此后在促进贸易自由化方面迈出了重要步伐。中国与东盟、新西兰和哥斯达黎加签署了自由贸易协定，并正在与澳大利亚就全面的中澳自由贸易协定进行谈判。自由贸易协定的经济影响可以通过应用经济模型进行贸易政策分析来量化。用四个例子简要地考察了过去12年贸易政策分析的定量经济模型。重点是中国决策者似乎最感兴趣的贸易政策分析定量经济建模的基础设施挑战，即分解、一致和及时的数据、稳健的参数化、政策时间表和相关性。
China joined the World Trade Organization (WTO) in 2001 and has since taken major steps to promote trade liberalization. It participates in free trade agreements (FTAs) with ASEAN, New Zealand, and Costa Rica and is negotiating with Australia for a comprehensive Sino-Australian FTA. The economic impact of FTAs can be quantified by applying economic models for trade policy analysis. Quantitative economic modeling for trade policy analysis over the past twelve years is briefly examined using four examples. The focus is on the infrastructural challenges in quantitative economic modeling for trade policy analysis in which Chinese policymakers seem most interested, namely disaggregated, consistent, and timely data, robust parameterization, policy timelines, and relevance.