The Interplay of Climate Change and Air Pollution on Health.
The Interplay of Climate Change and Air Pollution on Health.
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DOI：
10.1007/s40572-017-0168-6
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发表时间：
2017-12
影响因子：
7.9
通讯作者：
Forsberg B
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Orru H;Ebi KL;Forsberg B
空气污染严重影响健康，每年造成多达700万人过早死亡，住院和病假的人数甚至更多。气候变化可能改变主要污染物，特别是颗粒物的扩散，并加剧二次污染物，如近地表臭氧的形成。该综述的目的是评估气候变化对空气污染的影响以及与空气污染相关的健康影响的最新证据，并确定未来研究的知识差距。一些研究模拟了未来臭氧和颗粒物浓度，并计算了在不同气候情景下产生的健康影响。由于气候变化，在大多数研究中，预计与臭氧和细颗粒物有关的死亡率将增加;然而，结果因区域、假设的气候变化情景以及人口和背景排放等其他因素而异。本综述探讨了气候变化、空气污染和空气污染相关健康影响之间的关系。结果在很大程度上取决于所使用的气候变化情景和对未来空气污染排放的预测，不确定性相对较高。研究主要侧重于死亡率;需要预测对发病率的影响。
Air pollution significantly affects health, causing up to 7 million premature deaths annually with an even larger number of hospitalizations and days of sick leave. Climate change could alter the dispersion of primary pollutants, particularly particulate matter, and intensify the formation of secondary pollutants, such as near-surface ozone. The purpose of the review is to evaluate the recent evidence on the impacts of climate change on air pollution and air pollution-related health impacts and identify knowledge gaps for future research. Several studies modelled future ozone and particulate matter concentrations and calculated the resulting health impacts under different climate scenarios. Due to climate change, ozone- and fine particle-related mortalities are expected to increase in most studies; however, results differ by region, assumed climate change scenario and other factors such as population and background emissions. This review explores the relationships between climate change, air pollution and air pollution-related health impacts. The results highly depend on the climate change scenario used and on projections of future air pollution emissions, with relatively high uncertainty. Studies primarily focused on mortality; projections on the effects on morbidity are needed.