Estimating the COVID-19 R number: a bargain with the devil?
Estimating the COVID-19 R number: a bargain with the devil?
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DOI：
10.1016/s1473-3099(20)30840-9
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发表时间：
2021-03
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Bauch CT
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Bauch CT
鲍勃·梅的打油诗暗示了用一个数字来描述流行病控制的前景和危险。基本传染数（R 0）是在没有免疫力的人群中单个感染者产生的平均感染数。 R 0 有一个近亲，称为有效繁殖数（R），它是具有部分免疫力的人群中单个感染者产生的平均感染数。在《柳叶刀传染病》中，尤力及其同事
Bob May's limerick alludes to both the promises and dangers of characterising epidemic control by a single number. The basic reproduction number (R 0) is the average number of infections produced by a single infectious person in a population with no immunity. R 0 has a close relative named the effective reproduction number (R), which is the average number of infections produced by a single infected person in a population with partial immunity. In The Lancet Infectious Diseases, You Li and colleagues