Population-level risks of alcohol consumption by amount, geography, age, sex, and year: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2020.

Population-level risks of alcohol consumption by amount, geography, age, sex, and year: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2020.
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DOI:
10.1016/s0140-6736(22)00847-9
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发表时间:
2022-07-16
期刊:
影响因子:
168.9
通讯作者:
Madureira-Carvalho, Aurea M.
Madureira-Carvalho, Aurea M.
中科院分区:
医学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Bryazka, Dana;Reitsma, Marissa B.;Griswold, Max G.;Abate, Kalkidan Hassen;Abbafati, Cristiana;Kangevari, Mohsen Abbasi;Kangevari, Zeinab Abbasi;Abdoli, Amir;Abdollahi, Mohammad;Abdullah, Abu Yousuf Md;Abhilash, E. S.;Abu Gharbieh, Eman;Acuna, Juan Manuel;Addolorato, Giovanni;Adebayo, Oladimeji M.;Adekanmbi, Victor;Adhikari, Kishor;Adhikari, Sangeet;Adnani, Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah;Afzal, Saira;Agegnehu, Wubetu Yimam;Aggarwal, Manik;Ahinkorah, Bright Opoku;Ahmad, Araz Ramazan;Ahmad, Sajjad;Ahmad, Tauseef;Ahmadi, Ali;Ahmadi, Sepideh;Ahmed, Haroon;Rashid, Tarik Ahmed;Akunna, Chisom Joyqueenet;Al Hamad, Hanadi;Alam, Md Zakiul;Alem, Dejene Tsegaye;Alene, Kefyalew Addis;Alimohamadi, Yousef;Alizadeh, Atiyeh;Allel, Kasim;Alonso, Jordi;Alvand, Saba;Guzman, Nelson Alvis;Amare, Firehiwot;Ameyaw, Edward Kwabena;Amiri, Sohrab;Ancuceanu, Robert;Anderson, Jason A.;Andrei, Catalina Liliana;Andrei, Tudorel;Arabloo, Jalal;Arshad, Muhammad;Artamonov, Anton A.;Aryan, Zahra;Asaad, Malke;Asemahagn, Mulusew A.;Burt, Thomas Astell;Athari, Seyyed Shamsadin;Atnafu, Desta Debalkie;Atorkey, Prince;Atreya, Alok;Ausloos, Floriane;Ausloos, Marcel;Ayano, Getinet;Ayanore, Martin Amogre;Ayinde, Olatunde O.;Mateos, Jose L. Ayuso;Azadnajafabad, Sina;Azanaw, Melkalem Mamuye;Khyavy, Mohammadreza Azangou;Jafari, Amirhossein Azari;Azzam, Ahmed Y.;Badiye, Ashish D.;Bagheri, Nasser;Bagherieh, Sara;Bairwa, Mohan;Bakkannavar, Shankar M.;Bakshi, Ravleen Kaur;Balchut, Awraris Hailu;Null, Tilxrnighausen;Barra, Fabio;Barrow, Amadou;Baskaran, Pritish;Belo, Luis;Bennett, Derrick A.;Bensenor, Isabela M.;Bhagavathula, Akshaya Srikanth;Bhala, Neeraj;Bhalla, Ashish;Bhardwaj, Nikha;Bhardwaj, Pankaj;Bhaskar, Sonu;Bhattacharyya, Krittika;Bhojaraja, Vijayalakshmi S.;Bintoro, Bagas Suryo;Blokhina, Elena A. Elena;Bodicha, Belay Boda Abule;Boloor, Archith;Bosetti, Cristina;Braithwaite, Dejana;Brenner, Hermann;Briko, Nikolay Ivanovich;Brunoni, Andre R.;Butt, Zahid A.;Cao, Chao;Cao, Yin;Cardenas, Rosario;Carvalho, Andre F.;Carvalho, Marcia;Maia, Joao Mauricio Castaldelli;Castelpietra, Giulio;de Araujo, Luis F. S. Castro;Cattaruzza, Maria Sofia;Chakraborty, Promit Ananyo;Charan, Jaykaran;Chattu, Vijay Kumar;Chaurasia, Akhilanand;Cherbuin, Nicolas;Dinh Toi Chu;Chudal, Nandita;Chung, Sheng Chia;Churko, Chuchu;Ciobanu, Liliana G.;Cirillo, Massimo;Claro, Rafael M.;Costanzo, Simona;Cowden, Richard G.;Criqui, Michael H.;Martins, Natalia Cruz;Culbreth, Garland T.;Dachew, Berihun Assefa;Dadras, Omid;Dai, Xiaochen;Damiani, Giovanni;Dandona, Lalit;Dandona, Rakhi;Daniel, Beniam Darge;Danielewicz, Anna;Gela, Jiregna Darega;Davletov, Kairat;de Araujo, Jacyra Azevedo Paiva;de Sa Junior, Antonio Reis;Debela, Sisay Abebe;Dehghan, Azizallah;Demetriades, Andreas K.;Molla, Meseret Derbew;Desai, Rupak;Desta, Abebaw Alemayehu;da Silva, Diana Dias;Diaz, Daniel;Digesa, Lankamo Ena;Diress, Mengistie;Dodangeh, Milad;Dongarwar, Deepa;Dorostkar, Fariba;Dsouza, Haneil Larson;Duko, Bereket;Duncan, Bruce B.;Edvardsson, Kristina;Ekholuenetale, Michael;Elgar, Frank J.;Elhadi, Muhammed;Elmonem, Mohamed A.;Endries, Aman Yesuf;Eskandarieh, Sharareh;Etemadimanesh, Azin;Fagbamigbe, Adeniyi Francis;Fakhradiyev, Ildar Ravisovich;Farahmand, Fatemeh;Sa Farinha, Carla Sofia E.;Faro, Andre;Farzadfar, Farshad;Fatehizadeh, Ali;Fauk, Nelsensius Klau;Feigin, Valery L.;Feldman, Rachel;Feng, Xiaoqi;Fentaw, Zinabu;Ferrero, Simone;Desideri, Lorenzo Ferro;Filip, Irina;Fischer, Florian;Francis, Joel Msafiri;Franklin, Richard Charles;Gaal, Peter Andras;Gad, Mohamed M.;Gallus, Silvano;Galvano, Fabio;Ganesan, Balasankar;Garg, Tushar;Gebrehiwot, Mesfin Gebrehiwot Damtew;Gebremeskel, Teferi Gebru;Gebremichael, Mathewos Alemu;Gemechu, Tadele Regasa;Getacher, Lemma;Getachew, Motuma Erena;Obsa, Abera Getachew;Getie, Asmare;Ghaderi, Amir;Ghafourifard, Mansour;Ghajar, Alireza;Ghamari, Seyyed Hadi;Ghandour, Lilian A.;Nour, Mohammad Ghasemi;Ghashghaee, Ahmad;Ghozy, Sherief;Glozah, Franklin N.;Glushkova, Ekaterina Vladimirovna;Godos, Justyna;Goel, Amit;Goharinezhad, Salime;Golechha, Mahaveer;Goleij, Pouya;Golitaleb, Mohamad;Greaves, Felix;Grivna, Michal;Grosso, Giuseppe;Gudayu, Temesgen Worku;Gupta, Bhawna;Gupta, Rajeev;Gupta, Sapna;Gupta, Veer Bala;Gupta, Vivek Kumar;Nejad, Nima Hafezi;Mirzaian, Arvin Haj;Hall, Brian J.;Halwani, Rabih;Handiso, Tiilahun Beyene;Hankey, Graeme J.;Hariri, Sanam;Haro, Josep Maria;Hasaballah, Ahmed, I;Moghaddam, Hossein Hassanian;Hay, Simon, I;Hayat, Khezar;Heidari, Golnaz;Heidari, Mohammad;Hendrie, Delia;Herteliu, Claudiu;Heyi, Demisu Zenbaba;Hezam, Kamal;Hlongwa, Mbuzeleni Mbuzeleni;Holla, Ramesh;Hossain, Md Mahbub;Hossain, Sahadat;Hosseini, Seyed Kianoosh;Hosseinzadeh, Mehdi;Hostiuc, Mihaela;Hostiuc, Sorin;Hu, Guoqing;Huang, Junjie;Hussain, Salman;Ibitoye, Segun Emmanuel;Ilic, Irena M.;Ilic, Milena D.;Immurana, Mustapha;Irham, Lalu Muhammad;Islam, M. Mofizul;Islam, Rakibul M.;Islam, Sheikh Mohammed Shariful;Iso, Hiroyasu;Itumalla, Ramaiah;Iwagami, Masao;Jabbarinejad, Roxana;Jacob, Louis;Jakovljevic, Mihajlo;Jamalpoor, Zahra;Jamshidi, Elham;Jayapal, Sathish Kumar;Jayarajah, Umesh Umesh;Jayawardena, Ranil;Jebai, Rime;Jeddi, Seyed Ali;Jema, Alelign Tasew;Jha, Ravi Prakash;Jindal, Har Ashish;Jonas, Jost B.;Joo, Tamas;Joseph, Nitin;Joukar, Farahnaz;Jozwiak, Jacek Jerzy;Jurisson, Mikk;Kabir, Ali;Kabthymer, Robel Hussen;Kamble, Bhushan Dattatray;Kandel, Himal;Kanno, Girum Gebremeskel;Kapoor, Neeti;Karaye, Ibraheem M.;Karimi, Salah Eddin;Kassa, Bekalu Getnet;Kaur, Rimple Jeet;Kayode, Gbenga A.;Keykhaei, Mohammad;Khajuria, Himanshu;Khalilov, Rovshan;Khan, Imteyaz A.;Ab Khan, Moien;Kim, Hanna;Kim, Jihee;Kim, Min Seo;Kimokoti, Ruth W.;Kivimaki, Mika;Klymchuk, Vitalii;Knudsen, Ann Kristin Skrindo;Kolahi, Ali Asghar;Korshunov, Vladimir Andreevich;Koyanagi, Ai;Krishan, Kewal;Krishnamoorthy, Yuvaraj;Kumar, G. Anil;Kumar, Nithin;Ben Lacey;Lallukka, Tea;Lasrado, Savita;Lau, Jerrald;Lee, Sang Woong;Lee, Wei Chen;Lee, Yo Han;Lim, Lee Ling;Lim, Stephen S.;Lobo, Stany W.;Lopukhov, Platon D.;Lorkowski, Stefan;Lozano, Rafael;Lucchetti, Giancarlo;Madadizadeh, Farzan;Mahjoub, Soleiman;Mahmoodpoor, Ata;Mahumud, Rashidul Alam;Makki, Alaa;Malekpour, Mohammad Reza;Manjunatha, Narayana;Mansouri, Borhan;Mansournia, Mohammad Ali;Raga, Jose Martinez;Villa, Francisco A. Martinez;Matzopoulos, Richard;Maulik, Pallab K.;Mayeli, Mahsa;McGrath, John J.;Meena, Jitendra Kumar;Nasab, Entezar Mehrabi;Menezes, Ritesh G.;Mensink, Gert B. M.;Mentis, Alexios Fotios A.;Meretoja, Atte;Merga, Bedasa Taye;Mestrovic, Tomislav;Jonasson, Junmei Miao;Miazgowski, Bartosz;de Sa, Ana Carolina Micheletti Gomide Nogueira;Miller, Ted R.;Mini, Gk;Mirica, Andreea;Mirijello, Antonio;Mirmoeeni, Seyyedmohammadsadeq;Mirrakhimov, Erkin M.;Misra, Sanjeev;Moazen, Babak;Mobarakabadi, Maryam;Moccia, Marcello;Mohammad, Yousef;Mohammadi, Esmaeil;Hafshejani, Abdollah Mohammadian;Mohammed, Teroj Abdulrahman;Moka, Nagabhishek;Mokdad, Ali H.;Momtazmanesh, Sara;Moradi, Yousef;Mostafavi, Ebrahim;Mubarik, Sumaira;Mullany, Erin C.;Mulugeta, Beemnet Tekabe;Zamora, Efren Murillo;Murray, Christopher J. L.;Mwita, Julius C.;Naghavi, Mohsen;Naimzada, Mukhammad David;Nangia, Vinay;Nayak, Biswa Prakash;Negoi, Ionut;Negoi, Ruxandra Irina;Nejadghaderi, Seyed Aria;Nepal, Samata;Neupane, Sudan Prasad Prasad;Kandel, Sandhya Neupane;Nigatu, Yeshambel T.;Nowroozi, Ali;Nuruzzaman, Khan M.;Nzoputam, Chimezie Igwegbe;Obamiro, Kehinde O.;Ogbo, Felix Akpojene;Oguntade, Ayodipupo Sikiru;Aliabad, Hassan Okati;Olakunde, Babayemi Oluwaseun;Oliveira, Glaucia Maria Moraes;Bali, Ahmed Omar;Omer, Emad;Altamirano, Doris V. Ortega;Otoiu, Adrian;Otstavnov, Stanislav S.;Oumer, Bilcha;Mahesh, P. A.;Monedero, Alicia Padron;Palladino, Raffaele;Pana, Adrian;Jonas, Songhomitra Panda;Pandey, Ashok;Pardhan, Shahina;Parekh, Tarang;Park, Eun Kee;Parry, Charles D. H.;Kan, Fatemeh Pashazadeh;Patel, Jay;Pati, Siddhartha;Patton, George C.;Paudel, Uttam;Pawar, Shrikant;Peden, Amy E.;Petcu, Ionela Roxana;Phillips, Michael R.;Pinheiro, Marina;Plotnikov, Evgenii;Pradhan, Pranil Man Singh;Prashant, Akila;Quan, Jianchao;Radfar, Amir;Rafiei, Alireza;Raghav, Pankaja Raghav;Movaghar, Vafa Rahimi;Rahman, Azizur;Rahman, Md Mosfequr;Rahman, Mosiur;Rahmani, Amir Masoud;Rahmani, Shayan;Ranabhat, Chhabi Lal;Ranasinghe, Priyanga;Rao, Chythra R.;Rasali, Drona Prakash;Rashidi, Mohammad Mahdi;Ratan, Zubair Ahmed;Rawaf, David Laith;Rawaf, Salman;Rawal, Lal;Renzaho, Andre M. N.;Rezaei, Negar;Rezaei, Saeid;Rezaeian, Mohsen;Riahi, Seyed Mohammad;Rodriguez, Esperanza Romero;Roth, Gregory A.;Rwegerera, Godfrey M.;Saddik, Basema;Sadeghi, Erfan;Sadeghian, Reihaneh;Saeed, Umar;Saeedi, Farhad;Sagar, Rajesh;Sahebkar, Amirhossein;Sahoo, Harihar;Sahraian, Mohammad Ali;Rahman, Km Saif Ur;Salahi, Sarvenaz;Salimzadeh, Hamideh;Samy, Abdallah M.;Sanmarchi, Francesco;Milicevic, Milena M. Santric;Sarikhani, Yaser;Sathian, Brijesh;Saya, Ganesh Kumar;Sayyah, Mehdi;Schmidt, Maria Ines;Schutte, Aletta Elisabeth;Schwarzinger, Michael;Schwebel, David C.;Seidu, Abdul Aziz;Kumar, Nachimuthu Senthil;SeyedAlinaghi, SeyedAhmad;Seylani, Allen;Sha, Feng;Shahin, Sarvenaz;Sanavi, Fariba Shahraki;Shahrokhi, Shayan;Shaikh, Masood Ali;Shaker, Elaheh;Shakhmardanov, Murad Ziyaudinovich;Beyranvand, Mehran Shams;Sheikhbahaei, Sara;Sheikhi, Rahim Ali;Shetty, Adithi;Shetty, Jeevan K.;Shiferaw, Damtew Solomon;Shigematsu, Mika;Shiri, Rahman;Shirkoohi, Reza;Shivakumar, K. M.;Shivarov, Velizar;Shobeiri, Parnian;Shrestha, Roman;Sidemo, Negussie Boti;Sigfusdottir, Inga Dora;Silva, Diego Augusto Santos;da Silva, Natacha Torres;Singh, Jasvinder A.;Singh, Surjit;Skryabin, Valentin Yurievich;Skryabina, Anna Aleksandrovna;Sleet, David A.;Solmi, Marco;Solomon, Yonatan;Song, Suhang;Song, Yimeng;Sorensen, Reed J. D.;Soshnikov, Sergey;Soyiri, Ireneous N.;Stein, Dan J.;Subba, Sonu Hangma;Szocska, Miklos;Seisdedos, Rafael Tabares;Tabuchi, Takahiro;Taheri, Majid;Tan, Ker Kan;Tareke, Minale;Tarkang, Elvis Enowbeyang;Temesgen, Gebremaryam;Temesgen, Worku Animaw;Temsah, Mohamad Hani;Thankappan, Kavumpurathu Raman;Thapar, Rekha;Thomas, Nikhil Kenny;Tiruneh, Chalachew;Todorovic, Jovana;Torrado, Marco;Touvier, Mathilde;Palone, Marcos Roberto Tovani;Mai Thi Ngoc Tran;Llimos, Sergi Trias;Tripathy, Jaya Prasad;Vakilian, Alireza;Valizadeh, Rohollah;Varmaghani, Mehdi;Varthya, Shoban Babu;Vasankari, Tommi Juhani;Vos, Theo;Wagaye, Birhanu;Waheed, Yasir;Walde, Mandaras Tariku;Wang, Cong;Wang, Yanzhong;Wang, Yuan Pang;Westerman, Ronny;Wickramasinghe, Nuwan Darshana;Wubetu, Abate Dargie;Xu, Suowen;Yamagishi, Kazumasa;Yang, Lin;Yesera, Gesila Endashaw E.;Yigit, Arzu;Yigit, Vahit;Yimaw, Ayenew Engida;Yon, Dong Keon;Yonemoto, Naohiro;Yu, Chuanhua;Zadey, Siddhesh;Zahir, Mazyar;Zare, Iman;Zastrozhin, Mikhail Sergeevich;Zastrozhina, Anasthasia;Zhang, Zhi Jiang;Zhong, Chenwen;Zmaili, Mohammad;Zuniga, Yves Miel H.;Gakidou, Emmanuela;Madureira-Carvalho, Aurea M.

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与适度饮酒有关的健康风险仍在争论中。少量饮酒可能会降低某些健康结果的风险,但会增加其他健康结果的风险,这表明总体风险部分取决于背景发病率,而背景发病率因地区、年龄、性别和年份而异。在这项分析中,我们构建了22种健康结果的负担加权剂量反应相对风险曲线,以估计理论最小风险暴露水平(TMREL)和非饮酒者等效(NDE),即健康风险与非饮酒者等效的消费水平,使用全球疾病、伤害和风险因素负担研究(GBD) 2020中的21个地区,包括204个国家和地区,按5岁年龄组、性别、从1990年到2020年,年龄在15-95岁及以上的人。基于濒死体验,我们量化了饮酒有害量的人群。酒精使用的负担加权相对风险曲线因地区和年龄而异。在2020年15-39岁的个体中,TMREL在0(95%不确定区间0 - 0)和0.603(0.400 - 1.00)标准饮料/天之间变化,NDE在0.002(0 - 0)和1.75(0.698 - 4.30)标准饮料/天之间变化。在40岁及以上的人群中,所有地区的负担加权相对风险曲线呈j型,2020年的TMREL范围为每天0.114(0 - 0.403)至1.87(0.500 - 3.30)标准饮料,NDE范围为每天0.193(0 - 0.900)至6.94(3.40 - 8.30)标准饮料。在2020年有害饮酒量的人群中,年龄在15-39岁的占59.1%(54.3 - 65.4),男性占76.9%(74.3 - 83.1)。有强有力的证据支持对饮酒量的建议因年龄和地点而异。需要采取更强有力的干预措施,特别是针对年轻人的干预措施,以减少酒精造成的全球重大健康损失。比尔和梅林达·盖茨基金会。
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