Can Ageing North Benefit from Expanding Trade with South
Can Ageing North Benefit from Expanding Trade with South
复制标题
老龄化的北方能否从扩大与南方的贸易中受益
DOI：
--
复制
发表时间：
2013
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
M. Mérette
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
P. Georges;K. Lisenkova;M. Mérette
在本文中，我们估计了老龄化的北方国家将其部分贸易从其他北方国家转向南方国家的好处。为此，我们使用了一个考虑到21世纪人口趋势和贸易模式的六地区世代重叠模型。我们的研究表明，老龄化的北方国家可以通过显著改善贸易条件，从“丰富的衰退”中受益。我们估计，如果朝鲜扩大与韩国的贸易，铀浓缩的衰退将在多大程度上得到支持。例如，在欧洲，适当的贸易多样化战略可以使欧洲的实际人均消费增加3%。见上文见上文
In this paper we estimate the benefit for the ageing North countries of diversifying some of its trade away from the other North countries in favour of the South countries. To this end we use a six-region overlapping generations model that takes into account the demographic trends of the 21st century and trade patterns. We show that ageing Northern countries can benefit from “enriching decay” through significant improvement in the terms of trade. We estimate to what extent the enriching decay can be bolstered if the North expands trade with the South. In Europe, for instance, appropriate trade diversification strategy may prop up Europe’s real per capita consumption by 3%. See above See above