The exact moments of ols in dynamic regression models with non-normal errors

The exact moments of ols in dynamic regression models with non-normal errors
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具有非正态误差的动态回归模型中 ols 的精确矩

DOI:
10.1016/0304-4076(89)90086-9
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发表时间:
1989
影响因子:
6.3
通讯作者:
T. A. Peters
T. A. Peters
中科院分区:
经济学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
T. A. Peters

文献摘要

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本文研究了一类一阶独立同分布随机差分方程自回归系数OLS估计的有限样本灵敏度。从Edgewolge-Gram-Charlier群体中得出的误差。利用Davis(1976)和Sawa(1972)的结果导出了估计量的一阶矩和二阶矩的解析公式。此外,这些一般公式进行数值评估,并根据选定的替代参数的情况下,结果。结果表明,准确的偏差是相对不敏感的偏度和峰度的基本误差分布,但准确的MSE是相对敏感的偏度和峰度,这种敏感性增加的信号噪声比的增加。
This paper studies the finite-sample sensitivity of OLS estimators of the autoregressive coefficient in a first-order stochastic difference equation with i.i.d. errors drawn from an Edgeworth–Gram–Charlier population. Analytic formula for the first and second moments of the estimator are derived using the results of Davis (1976) and Sawa (1972). Also, numerical evaluation of these general formulae is undertaken and the results are presented under selected alternative parameter scenarios. The results suggest that the exact bias is relatively insensitive to skewness and kurtosis in the underlying error distribution but that the exact MSE is relatively sensitive to both skewness and kurtosis and this sensitivity increases as the signal to noise ratio increases.