Public perceptions of unusually warm weather in the UK: impacts, responses and adaptations
Public perceptions of unusually warm weather in the UK: impacts, responses and adaptations
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公众对英国异常温暖天气的看法：影响、反应和适应
DOI：
10.3354/cr026043
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发表时间：
2004
期刊：
影响因子：
1.1
通讯作者：
M. Hoar
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
JP Palutikof;M. Agnew;M. Hoar
社会经济对气候变率的敏感性的证据正在积累，并且主要基于模拟研究。本文从公众感知的角度考察了极端气候（夏季异常炎热和冬季异常温暖）的影响。邮政调查是在英国的两个地区进行的：(1)英格兰南部和(2)苏格兰中部和南部。收集的信息包括对温暖气候异常的态度、近期极端事件的感知风险和收益，以及这种异常在未来变得更加普遍的感知潜在风险和收益。极端气候的影响是根据(1)个人的“日常生活”和(2)国家的“利益”来评估的。这些回应表明，人们对极端气候的影响有高度的认识，对全球变暖有深刻的担忧，但认识到可能产生积极和消极的结果。在一些问题上，苏格兰和英格兰受访者的看法存在显著差异。特别是，与苏格兰居民相比，更多的英格兰居民认为异常温暖的夏季对农业和空气质量有严重的负面影响。我们认为，气候的区域差异至少可以部分解释响应的明显地理差异。研究结果表明，对于异常温暖的季节，短期和长期的适应性和行为反应，以及对未来生活方式进行进一步调整的意愿，在这种情况下，这种情况会变得更加普遍。
Evidence of socio-economic sensitivity to climate variability is accumulating and is largely based on modelling studies. This paper examines the impacts of climate extremes (unusually hot summers and unusually warm winters) from the perspective of the perception of the general pub- lic. Postal surveys were conducted for 2 regions in the UK: (1) southern England and (2) central and southern Scotland. Information was gathered regarding attitudes to warm climate anomalies, the perceived risks and benefits of recent extremes, and the perceived potential risks and benefits of such anomalies becoming more common in the future. The impacts of climate extremes were assessed with regard to (1) the individual's 'everyday life' and (2) the national 'good'. The responses indicate a high level of awareness of the impacts of climate extremes and deep concerns about global warming tempered by an appreciation that there is potential for both positive and negative outcomes. For several issues, the perception of respondents from Scotland and England differed significantly. In particular, more English than Scottish residents judge unusually warm summers as having a severe negative impact on agriculture and air quality than do Scottish residents. We suggest that regional differences in climate could at least in part explain the apparent geographic differences in response. The results indicate both short-term and long-term adaptive and behavioural responses to a season of exceptional warmth and a willingness to implement further lifestyle adjustments for a hypothetical future in which such events become more common.