Deterring Delinquents: A Rational Choice Model of Theft and Violence
Deterring Delinquents: A Rational Choice Model of Theft and Violence
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威慑犯罪分子：盗窃和暴力的理性选择模型
DOI：
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发表时间：
2006
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
D. Huizinga
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
R. Matsueda;D. Kreager;D. Huizinga
本文从理性选择的角度审视犯罪行为，这是我们法律制度背后的一套行为原则。作者使用主观效用方法，具体说明了风险感知形成的经验学习模型和盗窃和暴力的理性选择模型。他们使用丹佛青年调查中关于高危青年的小组数据来估计模型。利用感知风险的随机效应托比特模型和犯罪行为数量的负二项模型，作者找到了理性选择模型的支持。感知风险遵循贝叶斯更新模型，在该模型中，当前风险感知是先前风险感知加上基于犯罪和逮捕经验以及同龄人观察到的新信息的函数。盗窃和暴力是感知到的被捕风险、主观心理奖励(包括兴奋和社会地位)和感知到的机会的函数。
This article examines criminal behavior from a rational choice perspective, the set of behavioral principles underlying our legal institution. The authors use a subjective utility approach and specify experiential learning models of the formation of risk perceptions and rational choice models of theft and violence. They estimate the models using panel data on high risk youth from the Denver Youth Survey. Using random effects Tobit models of perceived risk and negative binomial models of counts of criminal acts, the authors find support for a rational choice model. Perceived risk follows a Bayesian updating model in which current risk perceptions are a function of prior risk perceptions plus new information based on experience with crime and arrest and observations of peers. Theft and violence are a function of the perceived risk of arrest, subjective psychic rewards (including excitement and social status), and perceived opportunities.