Physical Fitness Among Swedish Military Conscripts and Long-Term Risk for Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: A Cohort Study.
Physical Fitness Among Swedish Military Conscripts and Long-Term Risk for Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: A Cohort Study.
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DOI:
10.7326/m15-2002
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发表时间:
2016-05-03
影响因子:
39.2
通讯作者:
Sundquist K
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Crump C;Sundquist J;Winkleby MA;Sieh W;Sundquist K
Early-life physical fitness rarely has been examined in relation to type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in adulthood, because of the lengthy follow-up required. Elucidation of modifiable risk factors at young ages may help facilitate earlier and more effective interventions. We examined aerobic capacity and muscular strength at age 18 in relation to T2DM risk in adulthood. National cohort study. Sweden. All 1,534,425 military conscripts during 1969-1997 (97-98% of all 18-year-old males nationwide) without prior T2DM. Aerobic capacity and muscular strength measured in Watts and Newtons per kg of body weight, respectively, were examined in relation to T2DM identified from outpatient and inpatient diagnoses during 1987-2012 (maximum age 62 years). 34,008 men were diagnosed with T2DM in 39.4 million person-years of follow-up. Low aerobic capacity and low muscular strength were independently associated with increased risk of T2DM. Comparing lowest vs. highest tertiles of both aerobic capacity and muscular strength, the absolute difference in cumulative incidence of T2DM was 0.22% at 20 years of follow-up (95% CI, 0.20-0.25), 0.76% at 30 years (0.71-0.81), and 3.97% at 40 years (3.87-4.06). Overall, the combination of low aerobic capacity and low muscular strength was associated with a 3-fold risk of T2DM (adjusted hazard ratio, 3.07; 95% CI, 2.88-3.27; P<0.001), with a positive additive interaction (P<0.001). These associations were observed even among men with normal BMI. This cohort did not include women or physical fitness measurements at older ages. In this large cohort of Swedish male military conscripts, low aerobic capacity and low muscular strength at age 18 were associated with increased long-term risk of T2DM, even among those with normal BMI. NIH.