Breaking the Path of Institutional Development? Alternatives to the New Determinism
Breaking the Path of Institutional Development? Alternatives to the New Determinism
复制标题
打破制度发展路径？
DOI：
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发表时间：
2004
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
H. Farrell
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
C. Crouch;H. Farrell
路径依赖的概念在新制度主义分析中被以高度确定性的方式使用，因此使用这一框架的研究在解释或预测变化方面存在困难。然而，路径依赖理论所依据的波利亚瓮模型预测，替代路径是可能的。因此，可以说，行为者在认为有必要改变时，将能够利用这些工具。本文旨在捕捉这种可能性，通过容纳贝叶斯参数决策者与环境的互动。这使得有可能研究如何改变可能涉及这样的过程：使用过去的或多余的机构剧目;跨行动空间的经验转移;或从其他代理人，通过结构化的关系网络;出现感知的“最佳”解决方案。这种方法指出，需要改变类型学在新制度主义研究中的使用方式，这样那些不符合预先设想的类型框架的案例特征就不会被视为“噪音”而被忽视，而是被适当地评估为潜在的变革资源。
The concept of path dependence is being used in highly deterministic ways in neo-institutionalist analysis, so that studies using this framework have dif.culty in accounting for, or predicting, change. However, the original Polya urn model from which pathdependence theory draws predicts that alternative paths will be possible. It can then be argued that actors will be able to use these when they perceive a need to change. This article seeks to capture this possibility through accommodating a Bayesian parametric decision-maker interacting with an environment. This makes it possible to examine how change may involve such processes as: the use of past or redundant institutional repertoires; transfer of experience across action spaces; or from other agents, through networks of structured relationships; the emergence of perceived ‘one best’ solutions. This approach points to the need to change how typologies are used in neo-institutionalist research, so that those features of cases that do not .t the pre-conceived framework of a type are not disregarded as ‘noise’, but properly evaluated as potential resources for change.