The Racial and Economic Context of Trump Support
The Racial and Economic Context of Trump Support
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特朗普支持的种族和经济背景
DOI：
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发表时间：
2018
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Linda R. Tropp
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
E. Knowles;Linda R. Tropp
唐纳德·特朗普登上美国总统宝座，出乎许多社会科学家、专家和普通人的意料。到目前为止，大多数理解特朗普崛起的努力都集中在美国白人的个性和人口特征上。相比之下，本研究利用具有全国代表性的白人样本来研究在2016年总统初选期间，背景因素可能如何塑造了对特朗普的支持。结果显示，在社区层面接触种族和少数民族预示着白人中更大的群体威胁和种族认同，以及在大选中投票给特朗普的更大意图。然而，与此同时，社区多样性为白人提供了群体间接触的机会，这预示着威胁、白人认同感和特朗普的支持程度较低。进一步的分析表明，健康的当地经济可以在不同的情况下减弱威胁效应，从而使接触过程变得重要起来。
Donald Trump’s ascent to the Presidency of the United States defied the expectations of many social scientists, pundits, and laypeople. To date, most efforts to understand Trump’s rise have focused on personality and demographic characteristics of White Americans. In contrast, the present work leverages a nationally representative sample of Whites to examine how contextual factors may have shaped support for Trump during the 2016 presidential primaries. Results reveal that neighborhood-level exposure to racial and ethnic minorities predicts greater group threat and racial identification among Whites as well as greater intentions to vote for Trump in the general election. At the same time, however, neighborhood diversity afforded Whites with opportunities for intergroup contact, which predicted lower levels of threat, White identification, and Trump support. Further analyses suggest that a healthy local economy mutes threat effects in diverse contexts, allowing contact processes to come to the fore.