The use of UKCP09 to produce weather files for building simulation
The use of UKCP09 to produce weather files for building simulation
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DOI：
10.1177/0143624411428951
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发表时间：
2012-01
影响因子：
1.7
通讯作者：
A. Mylona
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
A. Mylona
传统上，每小时的天气年，如测试参考年（TRY）和设计夏季年（DSY）已被用于建筑物的能源和热性能分析。直到最近，这些天气数据集都是基于观测数据，但为了使建筑物适应未来可能发生的气候变化的影响，需要将气候预测（如英国气候预测（UKCP 09））纳入建筑性能分析。由EPSRC资助的四个研究项目检查了UKCP 09数据的使用，以及相关的天气生成器工具，以生成适合建筑物模拟的天气文件。一种称为“变形”的方法，以前用于创建目前提供给从业者，英国气候影响计划（UKCIP02）的基础上，CIBSE未来天气年，也将在这里讨论作为一个潜在的替代生产UKCP09为基础的天气文件。本文回顾了所有上述方法开发的建筑模拟，使用UKCP09预测产生的天气文件，并讨论了它们的优点和局限性，以及它们的易用性的设计师。实际应用：本文的目的是提供一个全面的审查，目前可用于生产未来的天气文件，建筑热和能源性能模拟使用UKCP09预测的各种方法。这一分析旨在向用户提供与每种方法和最终产品相关的好处和局限性，其依据是这些方法和产品的可访问性、与目前使用的其他数据集的一致性、所需的计算资源和空间可用性。
Traditionally, hourly weather years such as the test reference years (TRYs) and design summer years (DSYs) have been used for building energy and thermal performance analysis. Until recently, these weather datasets were based on observed measurements, but the need to adapt buildings to the impacts of likely future climate change has introduced a requirement to incorporate climate projections, such as the UK Climate Projections (UKCP09), into building performance analysis. Four research projects, funded by the EPSRC, examined the use of UKCP09 data, and the associated Weather Generator tool, in producing weather files appropriate for building simulation. A methodology called ‘morphing’, previously used to create the currently available to practitioners, UK Climate Impacts Programme (UKCIP02) based, CIBSE Future Weather Years, will also be discussed here as a potential alternative for the production of UKCP09-based weather files. This article reviews all above methodologies developed to produce weather files for building simulation, using the UKCP09 projections, and discusses their benefits and limitations as well as their ease of use by designers. Practical application: This article aims to provide a comprehensive review of the various methodologies currently available for the production of future weather files for building thermal and energy performance simulation using the UKCP09 projections. This analysis aims to provide users with the benefits and limitations associated with each methodology and end product based on their accessibility, consistency with other currently used datasets, computational resources required and spatial availability.