Economic Integration in the Asia-Pacific Region : Sequencing , Welfare Impact , and Industrial Adjustments
Economic Integration in the Asia-Pacific Region : Sequencing , Welfare Impact , and Industrial Adjustments
复制标题
亚太地区经济一体化:排序、福利影响和产业调整
DOI：
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发表时间：
2012
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
K. Itakura
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
K. Itakura
近年来，越来越多的涉及亚太国家的双边和诸边自由贸易协定(FTA)签署、批准或正在谈判中。虽然已经有关于实际和货币一体化排序的研究，但关于自由贸易协定最优排序的研究非常少。然而，政策制定者非常担心贸易协定带来的部门产出和就业调整的幅度。利用动态可计算一般均衡(CGE)模型，考察了亚太地区自贸协定排序与各成员国福利效应和产业调整程度之间的关系。在每个政策方案中考虑了不同的自贸协定顺序。如果自贸协定的特定顺序将改变每个国家内部的产业结构，使之更接近自由贸易下的产业结构，同时增加成员国的经济福利，那么它可以被视为迈向全球贸易自由化的有益的中间步骤。初步结果表明，部门调整的程度在不同的自由贸易协定顺序之间存在很大差异。果冻分类：F15、F17
In recent years, a growing number of bilateral and plurilateral free-trade agreements (FTAs) involving Asia-Pacific countries have been signed, ratified, or under negotiations. Although there have been studies on sequencing of real and monetary integration, studies on optimal sequencing of FTAs are extremely scarce. However, the magnitudes of sectoral output and employment adjustments resulting from trade accords are great concern to policy makers. Using a dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model, the relationship between sequencing of FTAs in the Asia-Pacific region and the magnitudes of welfare effects and industrial adjustments of the member countries is examined. A different sequencing of FTAs is considered in each policy scenario. If a particular sequencing of FTAs would change the industrial structure within each country closer to that which would prevail under free trade, while increasing economic welfare of the member countries, then it may be considered as a beneficial intermediate step towards global trade liberalization. The preliminary results suggest that the extent of sectoral adjustments differs greatly among alternative FTA sequencings. JEL classification: F15, F17
跨太平洋伙伴关系协定：前景与影响
DOI：
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发表时间：
2012
期刊：
影响因子：
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作者：
Foreign Trade University (ed.); P. Riethmuller;Hitoshi Hirakawa;Le dang Doanh et al.
通讯作者：
Le dang Doanh et al.