Hurricane Vulnerability in Latin America and The Caribbean: Normalized Damage and Loss Potentials
Hurricane Vulnerability in Latin America and The Caribbean: Normalized Damage and Loss Potentials
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DOI：
10.1061/(asce)1527-6988(2003)4:3(101
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发表时间：
2003-08-01
影响因子：
2.7
通讯作者：
Klein, Roberta
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Pielke, Roger A., Jr.;Rubiera, Jose;Klein, Roberta
1998年10月下旬，米奇飓风的残余在洪都拉斯和尼加拉瓜上空停滞，造成10 000多人死亡，损失高达85亿美元。虽然中美洲和加勒比有自然灾害的历史，但米奇造成的死亡和破坏是至少几十年来最大的，引发了许多问题，包括：这些损失的程度是什么？米奇是该地区未来灾难的预兆吗？以及可以采取哪些应对措施？本文件试图通过审查拉丁美洲和加勒比地区易受飓风袭击的历史和地理背景来阐明这些问题。该文件审查了中美洲和加勒比地区增加飓风脆弱性的经济和其他社会因素的趋势，并包括一项关于古巴飓风损失正常化的案例研究，该研究是通过本文公布的新收集的损失数据实现的。该文件将其调查结果置于与气候变化和自然灾害有关的政策背景下。
In late October 1998, the remnants of Hurricane Mitch stalled over Honduras and Nicaragua, killing more than 10,000 people and causing as much as $8.5 billion in damage. While Central America and the Caribbean have a history of natural disasters, the fatalities and destruction caused by Mitch were the greatest in at least several decades, prompting many questions including: What accounts for the extent of these losses? Is Mitch a harbinger of future disasters in the region? and What might be done in response? This paper seeks to shed light on these questions by examining the historical and geographic context of hurricane vulnerability in Latin America and the Caribbean. The paper examines trends in economic and other societal factors that increase vulnerability to hurricanes in Central America and the Caribbean and includes a case study of normalized hurricane losses in Cuba made possible by newly collected damage data published herein. The paper places its findings into the context of policies related to climate change and natural hazards.