Crime and immigration: new evidence from England and Wales
Crime and immigration: new evidence from England and Wales
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犯罪与移民：来自英格兰和威尔士的新证据
DOI：
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发表时间：
2013
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
S. Machin
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
L. Jaitman;S. Machin
我们研究了一个引人注目的移民公共政策问题，即犯罪与移民之间的联系，并提出了2000年代英格兰和威尔士的新证据。对于研究移民的影响，这一时期是相当有趣的，因为随着2004年东欧国家（A8）加入欧盟，英国的移民构成发生了巨大变化。正如我们所展示的，这对于确保确定移民的因果影响具有重要意义。当我们能够实施具有统计能力的可信研究设计时，我们没有发现移民对犯罪的平均因果影响的证据，当我们单独考虑A8和非A8移民时也是如此。我们还研究了伦敦本身，因为随着时间的推移，首都的移民变化很大。同样，我们从空间计量经济分析中发现移民对犯罪没有因果影响，并从伦敦本地人和移民被捕的独特数据中提供证据，表明移民在被捕的可能性上没有差异。JEL关键词：犯罪；移民;区域;A8JEL分类：F22， K42
We study a high profile public policy question on immigration, namely the link between crime and immigration, presenting new evidence from England and Wales in the 2000s. For studying immigration impacts, this period is of considerable interest as the composition of migration to the UK altered dramatically with the accession of Eastern European countries (the A8) to the European Union in 2004. As we show, this has important implications for ensuring a causal impact of immigration can be identified. When we are able to implement a credible research design with statistical power, we find no evidence of an average causal impact of immigration on crime, nor do we when we consider A8 and Non-A8 immigration separately. We also study London by itself as the immigration changes over time in the capital city were large. Again, we find no causal impact of immigration on crime from our spatial econometric analysis and also present evidence from unique data on arrests of natives and immigrants in London which shows no immigrant differences in the likelihood of being arrested.JEL keywords: Crime; Immigration; Enclaves; A8JEL classifications: F22, K42