Forecasting with judgment
Forecasting with judgment
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预测与判断
DOI：
10.2307/3010536
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发表时间：
1998
影响因子：
3.6
通讯作者：
P. Goodwin
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
S. French;George Wright;P. Goodwin
判断：其对战略的作用和价值(S.Makridakis和A.Gaba)。情景规划：关于未来的杂乱无章的想法的脚手架(K.范德海登)。判断性预测和现有信息的使用(M.奥康纳和M.劳伦斯)。加强判断销售预测：实验室研究的作用(P·古德温)判断性预测中的试探法和偏差(F.Bolger和N.Harvey)《带判断的财务预测》(D.Onkal-Atay)概率预测中的范畴知识推理：典型性和可感知的变异性效应(G.Browne和S.Curley)。使用结构化小组改进判断性预测(G.罗)人类的判断力有多糟糕？(P.Ayton)时间序列预测的统计方法和判断的整合：来自实证研究的原则(J·阿姆斯特朗和F·科洛比)。索引。
Judgment: Its Role and Value for Strategy (S. Makridakis & A. Gaba). Scenario Planning: Scaffolding Disorganized Ideas about the Future (K. van der Heijden). Judgmental Forecasting and the Use of Available Information (M. O'Connor & M. Lawrence). Enhancing Judgmental Sales Forecasting: The Role of Laboratory Research (P. Goodwin). Heuristics and Biases in Judgmental Forecasting (F. Bolger & N. Harvey). Financial Forecasting with Judgment (D. Onkal-Atay). Reasoning with Category Knowledge in Probability Forecasting: Typicality and Perceived Variability Effects (G. Browne & S. Curley). The Use of Structured Groups to Improve Judgmental Forecasting (G. Rowe). How Bad Is Human Judgment? (P. Ayton). Integration of Statistical Methods and Judgment for Time Series Forecasting: Principles from Empirical Research (J. Armstrong & F. Collopy). Index.