Problems with a Methodology Used to Evaluate the Voter Initiative

Problems with a Methodology Used to Evaluate the Voter Initiative
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用于评估选民倡议的方法存在的问题

DOI:
10.1111/0022-3816.00109
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发表时间:
2001
期刊:
The Journal of Politics
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
J. Matsusaka
J. Matsusaka
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
--
作者:
J. Matsusaka

文献摘要

被引文献

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本说明确定了一种方法的问题,该方法已用于测试政策是否或多或少地响应具有选民倡议的州的公众舆论。该方法是根据构成偏好的量度对策略变量进行回归,并比较有和没有选民计划的州的系数。据说,最大系数的各州对公众舆论的反应更快。这种推论证明是无效的。
This note identifies problems with a methodology that has been used to test whether policy is more or less responsive to public opinion in states with voter initiatives. The methodology is to regress a policy variable on a measure of constituent preferences, and compare the coefficients for states with and without voter initiatives. The states with the largest coefficients are said to be more responsive to public opinion. Such an inference is shown to be invalid.