Leaving the Devil You Know: Crime Victimization, US Deterrence Policy, and the Emigration Decision in Central America
Leaving the Devil You Know: Crime Victimization, US Deterrence Policy, and the Emigration Decision in Central America
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DOI：
10.25222/larr.147
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发表时间：
2018-01-01
影响因子：
0.8
通讯作者：
Orces, Diana M.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Hiskey, Jonathan T.;Cordova, Abby;Orces, Diana M.
2014 年春夏两季，来自危地马拉、萨尔瓦多和洪都拉斯等暴力国家的边境入境人数急剧增加，美国迅速实施了一项战略，旨在通过加强拘留和驱逐力度来防止此类激增。在本文中，我们研究了生活在中美洲北部犯罪高发地区的公民的移民决定。首先，通过对危地马拉、萨尔瓦多和洪都拉斯的调查数据进行分析，我们探讨了犯罪受害在导致这些国家的居民考虑移民方面所发挥的作用。接下来，我们利用在洪都拉斯 12 个城市收集的调查数据，评估了对美国加强移民威慑力度的了解在多大程度上影响了受访者的移民决定。尽管绝大多数受访者都知道美国有更严格的移民政策制度，但这种认识并没有影响他们将移民视为可行的策略。
Following a sharp increase in the number of border arrivals from the violence-torn countries of Guatemala, El Salvador, and Honduras in the spring and summer of 2014, the United States quickly implemented a strategy designed to prevent such surges by enhancing its detention and deportation efforts. In this article, we examine the emigration decision for citizens living in the high-crime contexts of northern Central America. First, through analysis of survey data across Guatemala, El Salvador, and Honduras, we explore the role crime victimization plays in leading residents of these countries to consider emigration. Next, using survey data collected across twelve municipalities in Honduras, we evaluate the extent to which knowledge of heightened US immigration deterrence efforts influenced respondents' emigration decision. Though a vast majority of these respondents were aware of the stricter US immigration policy regime, this awareness had no effect on their consideration of emigration as a viable strategy.