Toward adaptive infrastructure: flexibility and agility in a non-stationarity age

Toward adaptive infrastructure: flexibility and agility in a non-stationarity age
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DOI:
10.1080/23789689.2017.1416846
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发表时间:
2019-01-01
影响因子:
5.9
通讯作者:
Allenby, Braden
Allenby, Braden
中科院分区:
其他
文献类型:
--
作者:
Chester, Mikhail, V;Allenby, Braden

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随着技术的快速进步,越来越多的证据表明,我们的民用基础设施没有能力在需求、服务条件和环境条件快速变化的情况下自适应地、可靠地提供服务。基础设施正面临着多重挑战,包括不灵活的有形资产、不稳定和不足的资金、成熟度、利用率、日益增加的相互依赖性、气候变化、社会和环境意识、耦合技术系统的变化、缺乏跨学科专业知识、地缘政治安全和邪恶的复杂性。这些挑战是相互关联的,其中一些挑战会产生非平稳的影响。成功的基础设施在21世纪将需要灵活和敏捷。借鉴其他行业的经验,我们为实现灵活性和敏捷性的能力提供了建议:路线图,专注于软件而不是硬件,基于兼容性的思维,兼容性,连接性和组件的模块化,有机和面向变化的管理,以及跨学科的教育。首先,我们需要了解非技术力量和技术力量如何相互作用以锁定基础设施,并创建路径依赖。
As technologies rapidly progress, there is growing evidence that our civil infrastructure do not have the capacity to adaptively and reliably deliver services in the face of rapid changes in demand, conditions of service, and environmental conditions. Infrastructure are facing multiple challenges including inflexible physical assets, unstable and insufficient funding, maturation, utilization, increasing interdependencies, climate change, social and environmental awareness, changes in coupled technology systems, lack of transdisciplinary expertise, geopolitical security, and wicked complexity. These challenges are interrelated and several produce non-stationary effects. Successful infrastructure in the twenty-first century will need to be flexible and agile. Drawing from other industries, we provide recommendations for competencies to realize flexibility and agility: roadmapping, focus on software over hardware, resilience-based thinking, compatibility, connectivity, and modularity of components, organic and change-oriented management, and transdisciplinary education. First, we will need to understand how non-technical and technical forces interact to lock in infrastructure, and create path dependencies.