Social determinants of deforestation in developing countries: A cross-national study
Social determinants of deforestation in developing countries: A cross-national study
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DOI：
10.2307/3005539
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发表时间：
1998-12-01
期刊：
影响因子：
4.8
通讯作者：
Ehrhardt-Martinez, K
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Ehrhardt-Martinez, K
这项研究考察了推动森林砍伐的社会力量。新马尔萨斯主义、现代化和依附性理论被应用于51个发展中国家的跨国比较。采用多元回归技术，使用城市化水平、经济增长率、人口增长率、部门不平等程度、初级产品出口变化率和高等教育变化率来估计森林砍伐率。结果支持现代化理论，表明城市化水平对森林砍伐率具有曲线效应，经济增长有助于森林砍伐，部门不平等降低森林砍伐率。为了支持新马尔萨斯理论，人口增长导致了更高的森林砍伐率。高等教育对森林砍伐率有轻微的负面影响，而贸易依赖的影响并不显著。
This study examines the social forces that drive deforestation. Neo-Malthusian, modernization, and dependency theories are applied in a cross-national comparison of 51 developing countries. Multiple regression techniques are applied to estimate the rate of deforestation using the level of urbanization, economic growth rate, population growth rate, level of sectoral inequality, rate of change in primary product exports, and rate of change in tertiary education. Results support modernization theory, indicating that the level of urbanization has a curvilinear effect on the rate of deforestation, that economic growth contributes to deforestation, and that sectoral inequality reduces the rate of deforestation. In support of neo-Malthusian theory, population growth results in higher rates of deforestation. Tertiary education has a mild negative effect on the rate of deforestation, whereas the effect of trade dependency is insignificant.