“Dependence and competition: trade relationship between Asian countries and China”

“Dependence and competition: trade relationship between Asian countries and China”
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《依赖与竞争:亚洲国家与中国的贸易关系》

DOI:
10.1080/24761028.2021.1937841
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发表时间:
2021
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
丸川知雄
丸川知雄
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
--
作者:
Miyamoto Hiroaki;Yoshino Naoyuki;近藤 春生・小川 顕正;Hiroki Tanaka Masaya Yasuoka;中村亮介・田中宏樹・金田陸幸;近藤春生;丸川知雄

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本研究从两个方面考察了中国与亚洲国家之间的贸易:依赖和竞争。该研究首先概述了中国从一个高度依赖苏联的贸易小国发展成为贸易结构多元化的世界最大贸易国的过程。在1950年代依赖苏联之后,中国从1970年代到1990年代在贸易方面依赖日本。然而,在21世纪的头20年里,两国关系发生了彻底的变化。本研究进一步探讨了韩国、台湾、越南、马来西亚、新加坡、菲律宾、印度尼西亚维斯中国的双边贸易关系。该研究表明,亚洲国家在贸易方面越来越依赖中国,牺牲了与传统伙伴,即日本和美国的贸易。东盟内部贸易也因与中国贸易的增长而黯然失色。此外,研究显示,中国和亚洲国家之间的出口市场竞争加剧。亚洲的高收入国家已经被中国赶超,而低收入国家也面临着来自中国越来越大的竞争压力。
This study examines two aspects of trade, dependence and competition, between China and Asian countries. The study first outlines China’s evolution from a small trading nation that is highly dependent on the Soviet Union to the world’s largest trading nation with a diversified trade structure. After being dependent on the Soviet Union during the 1950s, China was dependent on Japan in terms of trade from the 1970s to the 1990s. However, during the first two decades of the 21st century, the relationship between the two countries completely changed. This study further examines bilateral trade relationships of South Korea, Taiwan, Vietnam, Malaysia, Singapore, the Philippines, Indonesia, vis-à-vis China. The study shows that Asian countries have become increasingly dependent on China in terms of trade, at the expense of trade with their conventional partners, namely Japan and the United States. Intra-ASEAN trade is also eclipsed by the growth of trade with China. Additionally, the study reveals, competition in export markets between China and Asian countries has intensified. The high-income countries in Asia have been caught up by China, while the low-income countries are also facing increasing competitive pressure from China.