The Electoral Impact of Newly Enfranchised Groups: The Case of Women’s Suffrage in the United States
The Electoral Impact of Newly Enfranchised Groups: The Case of Women’s Suffrage in the United States
复制标题
新获得选举权的群体对选举的影响：以美国妇女选举权为例
作者：
Mona Morgan
新获得选举权的群体如何实现共同利益的代表？我的理论是，虽然选举权的扩大有可能影响选举潮流，使之有利于新获得选举权的人，但这种影响取决于寻求代表该群体的社会运动的力量。社会运动定义了群体的共同利益，并创造了一个动员起来的选民群体，他们可以采取选举行动来促进共同目标。为了验证这一论点，我使用了美国通过第十九修正案的证据。我采用了一种差异中的差异方法，利用各县女性比例的异质性来估计女性选民的偏好，并表明这些偏好随着选举权运动的强度而变化。这些发现强调，在法律上纳入先前被剥夺公民权的群体可能不足以确保该群体的共同利益在事实上得到代表。
How do newly enfranchised groups achieve representation of shared interests? I theorize that while suffrage expansion has the potential to sway electoral tides in favor of the newly enfranchised, such effects are conditional on the strength of a social movement that seeks to represent the group. A social movement defines the group’s shared interests and creates a mobilized pool of voters who can take electoral action to foster common goals. In testing this argument, I use evidence from the adoption of the Nineteenth Amendment in the United States. I employ a difference-in-differences approach that exploits the heterogeneity in the proportion of women across counties to estimate preferences of women voters and show that these preferences vary with the strength of the suffrage movement. These findings highlight that de jure inclusion of a previously disenfranchised group may not be sufficient to secure de facto representation of the group’s shared interests.
DOI：
10.1162/qjec.2008.123.3.1287
发表时间：
2008-08
期刊：
The quarterly journal of economics
影响因子：
--
作者：
Miller G
通讯作者：
Miller G