Labor Market Vulnerability of Older Workers in the Netherlands and its Impact on Downward Mobility and Reduction of Working Hours
Labor Market Vulnerability of Older Workers in the Netherlands and its Impact on Downward Mobility and Reduction of Working Hours
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DOI：
10.1093/workar/wax017
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发表时间：
2018-07-01
影响因子：
3.7
通讯作者：
Wolbers, Maarten H. J.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Visser, Mark;Gesthuizen, Maurice;Wolbers, Maarten H. J.
基于成熟和广泛使用的劳动力市场理论，我们认为，50岁及以上的工人谁是更脆弱的荷兰劳动力市场更有可能经历向下的职业流动性和减少工作时间在他们的职业生涯后期。为了验证这一假设，我们分析了回顾性就业历史数据，从4波（1998年，2000年，2003年和2009年）的家庭调查荷兰人口（FSDP）使用事件历史模型。职业生涯后期的劳动力市场脆弱性由三个指标来代表。所有这三个因素都与年龄较大的工人的工作时间下降以及减少工作时间、教育水平、就业职业特点、家庭环境和宏观经济环境密切相关。更具体地说，结果表明，（a）处于社会较低阶层的老年工人，（B）在失业或残疾一段时间后重新就业的工人，以及（c）在职业生涯后期从事兼职工作的工人更有可能经历这两种情况。因此，研究结果强烈支持荷兰老年工人劳动力市场脆弱性的一般假设。
Based on well-established and widely-used labor market theories, we argue that workers aged 50 years and over who are more vulnerable in the Dutch labor market are more likely to experience downward occupational mobility and a reduction of working time in their late career. To test this general hypothesis, we analyze retrospective employment history data from 4 waves (1998, 2000, 2003, and 2009) of the Family Survey Dutch Population (FSDP) using event history models. Labor market vulnerability in the late career is proxied by three indicators. All 3 are strongly related to downward movements as well as cutbacks in working hours among older workers, net of educational level, employment career characteristics, household context and macroeconomic circumstances. More specifically, the results show that (a) older workers who are in lower social classes, (b) reenter employment after a spell of unemployment or disability, and (c) work part-time in their late career are more likely to experience both events. Hence, the results strongly support the general hypothesis on labor market vulnerability of older workers in the Netherlands.