Estimating the infection and case fatality ratio for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) using age-adjusted data from the outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship, February 2020.
Estimating the infection and case fatality ratio for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) using age-adjusted data from the outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship, February 2020.
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DOI：
10.2807/1560-7917.es.2020.25.12.2000256
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发表时间：
2020-03-01
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Kucharski, Adam J
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Russell, Timothy W;Hellewell, Joel;Kucharski, Adam J
调整从确诊到死亡的延迟，我们估计钻石公主号上冠状病毒病(新冠肺炎)的病例和感染病死率分别为2.6%(95%可信区间：0.89-6.7)和1.3%(95%可信区间：0.38-3.6)。将船上死亡人数与中国基于天真的病死率估计得出的预期死亡人数进行比较，我们估计中国的病死率和综合病死率分别为1.2%(95%可信区间：0.3-2.7)和0.6%(95%可信区间：0.2-1.3)。
Adjusting for delay from confirmation to death, we estimated case and infection fatality ratios (CFR, IFR) for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) on the Diamond Princess ship as 2.6% (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.89-6.7) and 1.3% (95% CI: 0.38-3.6), respectively. Comparing deaths on board with expected deaths based on naive CFR estimates from China, we estimated CFR and IFR in China to be 1.2% (95% CI: 0.3-2.7) and 0.6% (95% CI: 0.2-1.3), respectively.