Simulation-Based Emergency Evacuation System for Ocean City, Maryland, during Hurricanes
Simulation-Based Emergency Evacuation System for Ocean City, Maryland, during Hurricanes
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DOI：
10.1177/0361198105192200118
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发表时间：
2005-01
影响因子：
1.7
通讯作者：
N. Zou;S. Yeh;G. Chang;Alvin Marquess;Michael Zezeski
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
N. Zou;S. Yeh;G. Chang;Alvin Marquess;Michael Zezeski
本文介绍了一个基于模拟的马里兰州海洋城飓风疏散系统。提出的模型集成了优化和仿真，允许潜在用户修改计划和实时操作的优化计划。由于很难用数学公式完全捕捉网络运行约束和驾驶员响应，因此对海洋城的六种疏散方案进行了研究。利用优化模块对每个模块进行初始优化，然后根据仿真评估结果进行修正。为了应对疏散过程中的潜在事故，该研究提出了一个实时操作计划和一个开发的系统，该系统允许负责的操作员同时评估所有候选响应策略，并跟踪实施策略随时间的执行情况。
This paper presents a simulation-based system for Ocean City, Maryland, evacuation during hurricanes. The proposed model features integration of optimization and simulation that allows potential users to revise the optimized plan for both planning and real-time operations. Since it is difficult to capture all network operational constraints and driver responses fully with mathematical formulations, six evacuation plans for Ocean City were investigated. Each was optimized initially with the optimization module and then revised on the basis of the results of simulation evaluation. To address potential incidents during the evacuation, the study presents a real-time operation plan with a developed system that allows the responsible operators to concurrently evaluate all candidate responsive strategies and to track the performance over time of the implemented strategy.