Author Correction: Expert assessment of future vulnerability of the global peatland carbon sink
Author Correction: Expert assessment of future vulnerability of the global peatland carbon sink
复制标题
作者更正：专家对全球泥炭地碳汇未来脆弱性的评估
DOI：
10.1038/s41558-021-00991-1
复制
发表时间：
2021
影响因子：
30.7
通讯作者：
Loisel J
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Loisel J
据预测，本世纪泥炭地的碳平衡将从碳汇向碳源转变。然而，用于未来气候变化预测的主要地球系统模型仍未考虑泥炭地生态系统，影响和缓解研究中使用的综合评估模型也未考虑泥炭地生态系统。通过综合文献和专家启发的证据，我们定义和量化了影响全新世泥炭地碳储量的主要变化驱动因素，并预测了它们在本世纪和遥远未来的影响。我们还确定了科学界的不确定性和知识差距，并为更好地将泥炭地纳入建模框架提供了见解。鉴于泥炭地对全球碳循环的重要贡献，这项研究表明，泥炭地科学是一个关键的研究领域，我们仍然有很长的路要走，以充分了解泥炭地-碳-气候关系。
The carbon balance of peatlands is predicted to shift from a sink to a source this century. However, peatland ecosystems are still omitted from the main Earth system models that are used for future climate change projections, and they are not considered in integrated assessment models that are used in impact and mitigation studies. By using evidence synthesized from the literature and an expert elicitation, we define and quantify the leading drivers of change that have impacted peatland carbon stocks during the Holocene and predict their effect during this century and in the far future. We also identify uncertainties and knowledge gaps in the scientific community and provide insight towards better integration of peatlands into modelling frameworks. Given the importance of the contribution by peatlands to the global carbon cycle, this study shows that peatland science is a critical research area and that we still have a long way to go to fully understand the peatland–carbon–climate nexus.