The 1990s Homicide Decline
The 1990s Homicide Decline
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20 世纪 90 年代凶杀案下降
DOI：
10.1177/1088767916634406
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发表时间：
2016
期刊：
影响因子：
1.5
通讯作者：
Sumit Kumar
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Douglas B. Weiss;M. R. Santos;Alexander Testa;Sumit Kumar
最近的研究表明，美国并不是 20 世纪 90 年代犯罪率下降的唯一国家。然而，这方面的研究主要局限于少数发达国家，并且直到最近才探讨了发展中国家凶杀率在此期间下降的程度。本研究通过使用基于群体的轨迹模型来探讨 53 个发达国家和发展中国家 1990 年至 2005 年的凶杀趋势，从而解决了这些局限性。结果表明，虽然大多数国家在此期间凶杀案呈下降趋势，但这种趋势既不是普遍的，也不是随机分布的。
Recent studies suggest that the United States was not the only country that experienced a drop in crime in the 1990s. However, this line of research is largely limited to a small number of developed countries and only recently has explored the extent to which homicide rates dropped in developing countries during this time. This study addresses these limitations by using group-based trajectory modeling to explore homicide trends from 1990 to 2005 in 53 developed and developing countries. The results indicate that while most countries experienced downward trends in homicide during this time, this trend was neither universal nor randomly distributed.