Assessing the Trivialness, Relevance, and Relative Importance of Necessary or Sufficient Conditions in Social Science
Assessing the Trivialness, Relevance, and Relative Importance of Necessary or Sufficient Conditions in Social Science
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评估社会科学中必要或充分条件的琐碎性、相关性和相对重要性
DOI：
10.1007/bf02686312
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发表时间：
2006
影响因子：
2.7
通讯作者：
Gary Goertz
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Gary Goertz
各式各样的政治学家提出了许多充要或充分的条件假设。对于方法学家来说，一个问题是我们如何评估这些必要条件的重要性。本文讨论了关于充分条件的必要条件的重要性的三个核心问题。第一个是关于必要条件或充分条件的去“无关紧要”。第二个问题是一个充分或必要的条件有多“相关”？第三个重要问题涉及必要条件或充分条件的相对重要性：例如，如果X1和X2是必要条件或充分条件，哪一个比另一个更重要？本文提出了在三个相关背景下评估充要条件重要性的方法：(1)维恩图，(2)2×2表，(3)模糊集。本文详细讨论了两个实证例子：(1)斯科波尔的《国家与社会革命：法国、俄罗斯和中国的比较分析》和(2)拉金(2000年)对国际货币基金组织骚乱原因的分析。
Political scientists of all stripes have proposed numerous necessary or sufficient condition hypotheses. For methodologists a question is how can we assess the importance of these necessary conditions. This article addresses three central questions about the importance of necessary of sufficient conditions. The first concerns de “trivialness” of necessary or sufficient conditions. The second is how much a necessary or sufficient condition is “relevant?” The third important question deals with the relative importance of necessary or sufficient conditions: for example, ifX1 andX2 are necessary or sufficient conditions, is one more important than the other? The article develops measures to assess the importance of necessary or sufficient conditions in three related contexts: (1) Venn diagram, (2) 2×2 tables, and (3) fuzzy sets. Two empirical examples are discussed at length: (1) Skocpol’sStates and Social Revolutions: A Comparative Analysis of France, Russia, and China and (2) Ragin’s (2000) analysis of the cause of IMF riots.