Global pesticide use and trade database (GloPUT): New estimates show pesticide use trends in low-income countries substantially underestimated
Global pesticide use and trade database (GloPUT): New estimates show pesticide use trends in low-income countries substantially underestimated
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DOI：
10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2023.102693
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发表时间：
2023-07
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Annie Shattuck;Marion Werner;F. Mempel;Zackary Dunivin;R. Galt
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文献类型：
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作者：
Annie Shattuck;Marion Werner;F. Mempel;Zackary Dunivin;R. Galt
对全球农药影响的评估和应对这些影响的整体政策需要准确的农药使用数据，但很难找到良好的使用数据。对于各国的可比估计，研究人员和政策制定者依赖于联合国粮食及农业组织（粮农组织）收集的农药使用数据。我们分析了粮农组织的数据库，发现自2007年以来，数据报告和数据质量有所下降。我们提出了一种新的方法，使用双边配对镜像贸易统计数据和记者的可靠性指数添加，更新和/或替换137个国家的数据。由此产生的全球农药使用和贸易（GloPUT）数据库显示，低收入和中低收入国家的农药使用被大大低估。在过去十年中，全球农药使用量增长了20%;同期低收入国家的使用量增长了153%。GloPUT估计数更准确地反映了社会科学对最近农业化学品供应链重组和农业发展的研究结果，这些结果表明农药使用量大幅增加。数据报告和质量方面的重大问题意味着，农药生产、供应和采用方面最近变化的影响没有反映在粮农组织的数据库中，因此也没有反映在引人注目的环境评估中。
Assessments of pesticide impacts globally and holistic policies to address them require accurate pesticide use data, but good use data are difficult to find. For comparable estimates across countries, researchers and policymakers depend upon pesticide use data collected by the UN Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO). We analyze the FAO database and find declines in data reporting and data quality since 2007. We present a novel method that uses bilateral paired mirror trade statistics and an index of reporter reliability to add, update and/or replace data for 137 countries. The resulting Global Pesticide Use and Trade (GloPUT) database shows pesticide use in low and lower-middle income countries has been substantially underestimated. Over the last decade, global pesticide use grew 20% by volume; use in low-income countries grew by 153% over the same period. GloPUT estimates more accurately reflect social science findings on recent agrichemical supply chain restructuring and agrarian development, which indicate substantial increases in pesticide use. Significant issues with data reporting and quality mean that the impacts of recent changes in pesticide production, availability and adoption were not reflected in the FAO database, and, as a result, neither are they reflected in high profile environmental assessments.