PROBLEMS AND PREDICTION IN SURVIVAL-DATA ANALYSIS
PROBLEMS AND PREDICTION IN SURVIVAL-DATA ANALYSIS
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DOI：
10.1002/sim.4780140208
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发表时间：
1995-01-30
影响因子：
2
通讯作者：
HENDERSON, R
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
HENDERSON, R
在发表21年后，考克斯1972年发表的关于“回归模型和生命表”的论文仍然是科学和医学文献中引用最多的出版物之一。比例风险模型和部分似然技术已被应用于数千个数据集，但并不总是适当的，并激发了数百项理论研究，但并不总是相关的。最近的发展进行了审查和持续的问题进行了讨论，特别是关于预测推理。基于模型的预测的准确性，以及他们如何比较顾问的判断是通过一个例子进行调查。
Twenty-one years after its appearance, Cox's 1972 paper on 'Regression models and life tables' continues to be one of the most frequently cited publications in the scientific and medical literature. The proportional-hazards model and partial-likelihood technique have been applied to thousands of data sets, not always appropriately, and have motivated hundreds of theoretical studies, not always relevant. Recent developments are reviewed and continuing problems discussed, especially with respect to predictive inference. The accuracy of model-based predictions, and how they compare with consultants' judgements are investigated by means of an example.