Implications of Middle School Behavior Problems for High School Graduation and Employment Outcomes of Young Adults: Estimation of a Recursive Model.
Implications of Middle School Behavior Problems for High School Graduation and Employment Outcomes of Young Adults: Estimation of a Recursive Model.
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DOI：
10.1080/09645292.2010.511816
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发表时间：
2012-01-01
影响因子：
2.2
通讯作者：
Stuart E
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Karakus MC;Salkever DS;Slade EP;Ialongo N;Stuart E
青春期行为问题对成年期就业结果的潜在严重不利影响为早期干预计划提供了关键的经济学依据。然而，受教育程度低在多大程度上占青少年行为问题对以后就业的总影响仍然不清楚。我们指定并估计一个递归双变量probit模型，该模型1）将中学行为问题与高中毕业联系起来，2）将青年时期的就业模式作为这些行为问题和高中毕业的函数。因此，我们的模型既考虑了行为问题对以后就业的直接影响，也考虑了通过高中毕业产生的间接影响。我们的实证结果，从NELS的数据分析的基础上，表明，外化行为问题对以后的就业的直接影响是不显着的，但这些问题有重要的间接影响，通过高中毕业。
The potentially serious adverse impacts of behavior problems during adolescence on employment outcomes in adulthood provide a key economic rationale for early intervention programs. However, the extent to which lower educational attainment accounts for the total impact of adolescent behavior problems on later employment remains unclear As an initial step in exploring this issue, we specify and estimate a recursive bivariate probit model that 1) relates middle school behavior problems to high school graduation and 2) models later employment in young adulthood as a function of these behavior problems and of high school graduation. Our model thus allows for both a direct effect of behavior problems on later employment as well as an indirect effect that operates via graduation from high school. Our empirical results, based on analysis of data from the NELS, suggest that the direct effects of externalizing behavior problems on later employment are not significant but that these problems have important indirect effects operating through high school graduation.