Genetic risk score based on the lifetime prevalence of femoral fracture in 1632 consecutive Japanese autopsy cases
Genetic risk score based on the lifetime prevalence of femoral fracture in 1632 consecutive Japanese autopsy cases
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基于 1632 例连续日本尸检病例股骨骨折终生患病率的遗传风险评分
DOI:
10.1007/s00774-015-0718-7
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发表时间:
2016
影响因子:
3.3
通讯作者:
Hideki Ito
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Heying Zhou;Seijiro Mori;Tatsuro Ishizaki;Masashi Tanaka;Kumpei Tanisawa;Makiko Naka-Mieno;Motoji Sawabe;Tomio Arai;Masaaki Muramatsu;Yoshiji Yamada;Hideki Ito
A genetic risk score (GRS) was developed for predicting fracture risk based on lifetime prevalence of femoral fractures in 924 consecutive autopsies of Japanese males. A total of 922 non-synonymous single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) located in 62 osteoporosis susceptibility genes were genotyped and evaluated for their association with the prevalence of femoral fracture in autopsy cases. GRS values were calculated as the sum of risk allele counts (unweighted GRS) or the sum of weighted scores estimated from logistic regression coefficients (weighted GRS). Five SNPs (α-ʟ-iduronidasers3755955,C7orf58rs190543052,homeobox C4rs75256744,G patch domain-containing gene 1rs2287679, andWerner syndromers2230009) showed a significant association (P< 0.05) with the prevalence of femoral fracture in 924 male subjects. Both the unweighted and weighted GRS adequately predicted fracture prevalence; areas under receiver-operating characteristic curves were 0.750 [95 % confidence interval (CI) 0.660–0.840] and 0.770 (95 % CI 0.681–0.859), respectively. Multiple logistic regression analysis revealed that the odds ratio (OR) for the association between fracture prevalence and unweighted GRS ≥3 (n= 124) was 8.39 (95 % CI 4.22–16.69,P< 0.001) relative to a score <3 (n= 797). Likewise, the OR for a weighted GRS of 6–15 (n= 135) was 7.73 (95 % CI 3.89–15.36,P< 0.001) relative to scores of 0–5 (n= 786). The GRS based on risk allele profiles of the five SNPs could help identify at-risk individuals and enable implementation of preventive measures for femoral fracture.