Design and evaluation of an intelligent decision support system for nuclear emergencies

Design and evaluation of an intelligent decision support system for nuclear emergencies
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DOI:
10.1016/j.dss.2004.04.014
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发表时间:
2005-11
期刊:
Decis. Support Syst.
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Nadia Papamichail;S. French
Nadia Papamichail;S. French
中科院分区:
其他
文献类型:
--
作者:
Nadia Papamichail;S. French

文献摘要

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智能决策支持系统(DSS)使用专家系统技术来提高决策者(DM)理解决策问题和选择合理方案的能力。由于这类技术以人为本,重要的是不仅要评估其技术方面和整体性能,而且要征求潜在用户的意见。本文从文献中对智能决策支持系统的评估方法进行了分类,并讨论了我们在开发、运行和评估核突发事件智能决策支持系统方面的经验。该系统协助决策者制定备选方案和对备选方案进行排序,并以自然语言形式传达其建议。该应用突出了从开发过程中获得的见解和现有评估方法的缺点。讨论了从研究中吸取的经验教训、遇到的挑战和对未来做法的建议。
Intelligent Decision Support Systems (DSSs) use expert systems technology to enhance the capabilities of decision makers (DMs) in understanding a decision problem and selecting a sound alternative. Because of the people-centred focus of such technologies, it is important not only to assess their technical aspects and overall performance but also to seek the views of potential users. This paper draws from the literature to classify methods for assessing intelligent Decision Support Systems and discusses our experiences in developing, operating and evaluating an intelligent decision support system for nuclear emergencies. The system assists decision makers in the formulation and ranking of alternatives and communicates its recommendation in a natural language form. The application highlights insights from the development process and shortcomings of existing assessment methods. Lessons learned from the study, challenges encountered and recommendations for future practices are discussed.