The J Curve: A New Way to Understand Why Nations Rise and Fall
The J Curve: A New Way to Understand Why Nations Rise and Fall
复制标题
J 曲线：理解国家兴衰原因的新方法
DOI：
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发表时间：
2006
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
P. Moore
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
A. Peters;P. Moore
将国家定位在J曲线上--左边代表专制，右边代表民主。然后想办法迫使那些左派开放他们的社会，而不是通过进一步孤立他们来鼓励他们关闭得更紧。西方对金正日领导的朝鲜的孤立给了他所需要的掩护，以延续其残暴的政权（美国在萨达姆·侯赛因和卡斯特罗问题上犯了很长一段时间的错误）;在沙特阿拉伯，西方政府应该鼓励在该国分裂之前进行可控的变革;他们应该帮助加强中国的经济，使其能够进一步自由化;他们必须鼓励以色列决定它将是一个什么样的国家。《J曲线》充满了富有想象力和令人惊讶的例子，说明如何纠正过时的政治观念，为西方政府指出了一条通往现实政治平衡和更健康经济未来的道路。
Locate nations on the J Curve - left for authoritarian, right for democratic. Then figure out how to force those on the left to open their societies, rather than encouraging them to shut them tighter by further isolating them. The West's isolation of Kim Jong-il's North Korea gives him the cover he needs to extend his brutal regime (the mistake the U.S. made for a long time with Saddam Hussein and Castro); in Saudi Arabia, western governments should encourage manageable change before the country breaks apart; they should help strengthen China's economy so it can further liberalize; they must encourage Israel to decide what kind of country it will be. Filled with imaginative and surprising examples of how to correct outworn political ideas, THE J CURVE points the way for western governments to lead the way to a realistic political balance and a healthier economic future.