POPULATION PRESSURES AND AGRICULTURAL-DEVELOPMENT IN DEVELOPING-COUNTRIES - A CONCEPTUAL-FRAMEWORK AND RECENT-EVIDENCE

POPULATION PRESSURES AND AGRICULTURAL-DEVELOPMENT IN DEVELOPING-COUNTRIES - A CONCEPTUAL-FRAMEWORK AND RECENT-EVIDENCE
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DOI:
10.1016/0305-750x(87)90077-5
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发表时间:
1987-02-01
期刊:
影响因子:
6.9
通讯作者:
BILSBORROW, RE
BILSBORROW, RE
中科院分区:
经济学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
BILSBORROW, RE

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本文件的目的是:(A)制定一种更全面的概念方法,以调查发展中国家农村人口密度增加的反应;(B)提出说明这些反应的最新经验证据。对发展中国家广大地区的各种反应进行了实证说明,包括耕地增加、土地集约化、迁出和生育率下降,尽管重点是经济变化。纵观各国和一段时间以来的经济变化,即使在现有技术的情况下,农业产出也有进一步增长的广阔空间。尽管如此,随着人口增长速度放缓,发展中国家提高生活水平的前景更好。
The purpose of this paper are (a) to develop a more comprehensive conceptual approach for investigating the responses to increases in rural population density in developing countries; and (b) to present recent empirical evidence illustrating these responses. The variety of responses is empirically illustrated for broad regions in developing countries, including increases in arable land, land intensification, out-migration, and fertility decline, though the focus is on the economic changes. Viewing the economic changes both across countries and over time suggests wide scope for further increases in agricultural output, even with existing technology. Nevertheless, prospects for raising living standards in the developing countries are better with slower rates of population growth.