Holding-Together Regionalism: Twenty Years of Post-Soviet Integration

Holding-Together Regionalism: Twenty Years of Post-Soviet Integration
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团结的地区主义:后苏联一体化的二十年

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发表时间:
2012
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通讯作者:
E. Vinokurov
E. Vinokurov
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作者:
A. Libman;E. Vinokurov

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在一代人的时间里,后苏联时代的政治、经济和社会面貌发生了巨大变化。新的结构-从国家权力结构到以市场而不是中央计划为基础的全新经济现实-已经出现。由于苏联解体已经过去20年,现在似乎应该对后苏联时代最重要和最复杂的问题之一,即这一高度相互关联的地区的(重新)一体化,进行一次概述、分析和解释。我们认为,对苏联解体后的一体化进行纯粹描述性的分析过于狭隘。虽然我们在这里概述了过去20年的政治和经济发展,但后苏联地区的发展需要解释。为什么后苏联一体化在过去20年中总体上是不成功的?为什么我们要等待近20年才能实现第一个成功的一体化项目,即“三驾马车”关税同盟?如何解释与共享基础设施、相互贸易和投资有关的某些趋势?未来有一些令人兴奋的问题,例如,未来20年的前景和驱动力是什么?什么是更可取的-加强或扩大关税同盟和共同经济空间?后苏联一体化与推动与欧盟以及东亚和南亚(本质上是欧亚一体化)更紧密合作之间的最佳关系是什么?这些只是我们在所谓的“保持一体化”的理论框架内解决的几个问题
Within a single generation, the post-Soviet political, economic, and social landscape has changed immensely. The new structures — ranging from national power structures to a completely new economic reality based on the market instead of centralized planning — have come into existence. As 20 years have passed since the break-up of the Soviet Union, it seems timely to provide an overview, analysis and explanation of one of the most important and complex issues of the post-Soviet era, namely the (re-)integration of this highly interconnected region. Offering a purely descriptive analysis of post-Soviet integration would, we feel, be too restrictive. Although we provide an overview here of political and economic developments over the last 20 years, the developments in the post-Soviet area demand an explanation. Why has post-Soviet integration been, on the whole, unsuccessful over the last two decades? Why did we have to wait almost 20 years for the first successful integration project, the «Troika» Customs Union, to materialize? How can certain trends related to shared infrastructure, mutual trade and investment be explained? There are some exciting questions for the future, for example, what are the prospects and driving forces for the next 20 years? What is more desirable — an intensification or broadening of the Custom Union and the Common Economic Space? What is the optimal relationship between post-Soviet integration and the drive towards closer cooperation with the European Union and East and South Asia (that is, essentially, Eurasian integration)? These are just a few of the questions which we address within the theoretical framework of what we refer to as «holding-together integration»