Prostate-Specific Antigen at 4 to 5 Years After Low-Dose-Rate Prostate Brachytherapy Is a Strong Predictor of Disease-Free Survival
Prostate-Specific Antigen at 4 to 5 Years After Low-Dose-Rate Prostate Brachytherapy Is a Strong Predictor of Disease-Free Survival
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DOI:
10.1016/j.ijrobp.2013.10.010
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发表时间:
2014-01-01
影响因子:
7
通讯作者:
Spadinger, Ingrid
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Lo, Andrea C.;Morris, W. James;Spadinger, Ingrid
Purpose: To determine (1) the prognostic utility of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) concentration at 45 to 60 months (48mPSA) after low-dose-rate prostate brachytherapy (LDR-PB); (2) the predictors of 48mPSA; and (3) the prognostic utility of directional trends between PSA levels at 24, 36, and 48 months after LDR-PB.Methods and Materials: Between 1998 and 2008, 2223 patients with low-and intermediate-risk prostate cancer received LDR-PB monotherapy. A cohort of 1434 of these patients was identified with a documented 48mPSA and no evidence of disease relapse prior to the 48mPSA. In addition, a subset of this cohort (n=585) was identified with >= 72 months of follow-up and documented PSA values at both 24 and 36 months after implantation.Results: Median follow-up time was 76 months. Eight-year Kaplan-Meier disease-free survival (DFS) rates were 100% vs 73.4% for patients with 48mPSA 0.2 ng/mL; 99.1% versus 53.8% for a 48mPSA threshold of 0.4 ng/mL, respectively; and 97.3% versus 0% for a threshold of 1.0 ng/mL, respectively. On multivariate analysis, the only factor predictive of DFS was 48mPSA (P0.2 ng/mL) between 24 and 36 months, 24 patients had a rise between 36 and 48 months, and 11 patients had rises over both intervals. Failure rates in these patients were 52%, 79%, and 100%, respectively. On multivariate analysis, initial PSA, androgen deprivation therapy, and dose to 90% of the prostate significantly correlated with 48mPSA but together accounted for only similar to 5% of its total variance.Conclusions: The 48mPSA after LDR-PB is highly predictive of long-term DFS. Patients with 48mPSA 0.2 ng/mL from 24 to 36 months and from 36 to 48 months were also highly predictive of subsequent failure. (C) 2014 Elsevier Inc.