Estimates of the cancer incidence and mortality in Europe in 2006
Estimates of the cancer incidence and mortality in Europe in 2006
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DOI：
10.1093/annonc/mdl498
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发表时间：
2007-03-01
影响因子：
50.5
通讯作者：
Boyle, P.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Ferlay, J.;Autier, P.;Boyle, P.
背景：监测欧洲癌症负担的演变具有重要价值。2004年欧洲癌症负担的估计数已经公布，现在正在提交2006年欧洲癌症发病率和死亡率的估计数。方法：收集了最新的癌症发病率和死亡率数据，并使用短期预测方法进行预测，以产生2006年的估计率。在没有国家发病率数据的情况下，需要进行额外的估计，该方法涉及对代表性癌症登记处的癌症发病率和死亡率数据的汇总进行预测。结果：2006年欧洲共确诊癌症319.16万例（不包括非黑色素瘤皮肤癌），癌症死亡170.3万例。最常见的癌症是乳腺癌（429 900例，占所有癌症病例的13.5%），其次是结肠直肠癌（412 900例，12.9%）和肺癌（386 300例，12.1%）。肺癌，估计有334 800例死亡（占总数的19.7%），是癌症死亡的最常见原因，其次是结直肠癌（207 400例死亡），乳腺癌（131 900）和胃癌（118 200）cancer.Conclusions：自2004年以来，欧洲癌症新发病例总数似乎增加了300 000。据估计，每年有320万新发病例（53%发生在男性，47%发生在女性）和170万死亡病例（56%发生在男性，44%发生在女性），癌症仍然是欧洲重要的公共卫生问题，欧洲人口老龄化将导致这些数字继续增加，即使年龄特异性比率保持不变。现有循证公共卫生措施可降低乳腺癌和结肠直肠癌的死亡率，而肺癌和其他几种癌症的发病率可通过改进烟草控制来降低。
Background: Monitoring the evolution of the cancer burden in Europe is of great value. Estimates of the cancer burden in Europe have been published for 2004 and estimates are now being presented for cancer incidence and mortality in Europe for 2006.Methods: The most recent sources of cancer incidence and mortality data have been collected and projections have been carried out using short-term prediction methods to produce estimated rates for 2006. Additional estimation was required where national incidence data were not available, and the method involved the projection of the aggregations of cancer incidence and mortality data from representative cancer registries. The estimated 2006 rates were applied to the corresponding estimated country population to obtain the best estimates of the cancer incidence and mortality in Europe in 2006.Results: In 2006 in Europe, there were an estimated 3 191 600 cancer cases diagnosed (excluding nonmelanoma skin cancers) and 1 703 000 deaths from cancer. The most common form of cancers was breast cancer (429 900 cases, 13.5% of all cancer cases), followed by colorectal cancers (412 900, 12.9%) and lung cancer (386 300, 12.1%). Lung cancer, with an estimated 334 800 deaths (19.7% of total), was the most common cause of death from cancer, followed by colorectal (207 400 deaths), breast (131 900) and stomach (118 200) cancers.Conclusions: The total number of new cases of cancer in Europe appears to have increased by 300 000 since 2004. With an estimated 3.2 million new cases (53% occurring in men, 47% in women) and 1.7 million deaths (56% in men, 44% in women) each year, cancer remains an important public health problem in Europe and the ageing of the European population will cause these numbers to continue to increase even if age-specific rates remain constant. Evidence-based public health measures exist to reduce the mortality of breast and colorectal cancer while the incidence of lung cancer, and several other forms of cancer, could be diminished by improved tobacco control.