The EU Council enlarged: North-South-East or core-periphery?

The EU Council enlarged: North-South-East or core-periphery?
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欧盟理事会扩大:东北-东南还是核心-外围?

DOI:
10.1177/1465116510390720
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发表时间:
2011
影响因子:
2.3
通讯作者:
Běla Plechanovová
Běla Plechanovová
中科院分区:
法学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Běla Plechanovová

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本文旨在通过对理事会部长投票立场的分析,评估第一次东扩后欧盟决策的新模式。通过应用三种方法(聚类分析,因子分析和贝叶斯项目反应模型),它评估了欧盟决策的新的空间维度。结果表明,扩大后理事会会议上的公开辩论水平有所上升,但总体联盟建设模式与旧欧盟相似。分析还表明,有可能确定一个获胜的联盟,在东扩之前和之后的时期内构成关键的加权多数票。此外,在25个成员国的欧盟中,相对于合格多数门槛的最大联盟的规模变得更小,这可能预示着一个政策稳定性增加的新时代。
This article aims to evaluate the emerging patterns of decision-making in the European Union after the first Eastern enlargement through an analysis of voting positions in the Council of Ministers. By applying three methods (cluster analysis, factor analysis and Bayesian item-response modelling), it assesses the new spatial dimensions of EU policy-making. The results show that the level of open contestation at the Council meetings has risen following enlargement, but the general coalition-building patterns remain similar to the ones in the old EU. The analysis also indicates that it is possible to identify a winning coalition that constitutes the critical mass of the qualified majority of weighted votes for the periods before and after the Eastern enlargement. Furthermore, the size of the largest coalition in relation to the qualified majority threshold becomes smaller in the EU of 25 member states, which may herald a new era of increased policy stability.
DOI: 10.1093/schbul/sbu013
发表时间: 2014-05-01
影响因子: 6.6
作者:
Reilly, James L.;Sweeney, John A.
通讯作者: Sweeney, John A.