Rebound Effect and Its Impact on Policies of Energy-saving and Emission Reduction
Rebound Effect and Its Impact on Policies of Energy-saving and Emission Reduction
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发表时间：
2011
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通讯作者：
Qiao Shu-fang
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作者：
Qiao Shu-fang
“十二五”期间节能减排的目标是单位GDP能耗下降16%，为实现这一目标，中国政府采取了一些以提高能源效率为重点的政策，但能源效率的提高可能产生潜在的反弹效应，增加能源消费，导致节能减排政策失灵。本文分析了反弹效应的类型和机制，总结了反弹效应测度的实证结果，指出了目前实证研究的主要不足，提出了从公共政策制定的角度研究反弹效应的思路，认为要更好地理解反弹效应的机制，应该从行为主体的经济行为、替代品的价格、能源补贴和可再生能源政策。最后，对未来的研究主题的建议。
The goal of energy-saving and emission reduction in the Twelfth Five Year Plan Period is 16% decrease in energy consumption per unit of GDP.To realize this goal,Chinese government has adopted some policies focused on the improvement of energy efficiency.However,improvement of energy efficiency may produce potential rebound effect,and increase energy consumption,leading to policy failure in energy-saving and emission reduction.Based on literature review,this paper analyzes types and mechanism of rebound effect,summarizes empirical results of rebound effect measurement,and then identifies main deficiencies in current empirical research.The paper proposes a research approach from the perspective of public policy making,and arguing that a better understanding of rebound effect mechanism should include studies on the economic behaviors of the actors,price of substitute goods,energy subsidies and renewable energy policy.The paper ends with proposals for future research on the topic.