Who makes acquisitions? CEO overconfidence and the market's reaction
Who makes acquisitions? CEO overconfidence and the market's reaction
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DOI:
10.1016/j.jfineco.2007.07.002
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发表时间:
2008-07-01
影响因子:
8.9
通讯作者:
Tate, Geoffrey
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Malmendier, Ulrike;Tate, Geoffrey
Does CEO overconfidence help to explain merger decisions? Overconfident CEOs overestimate their ability to generate returns. As a result, they overpay for target companies and undertake value-destroying mergers. The effects are strongest if they have access to internal financing. We test these predictions using two proxies for overconfidence: CEOs' personal over-investment in their company and their press portrayal. We find that the odds of making an acquisition are 65% higher if the CEO is classified as overconfident. The effect is largest if the merger is diversifying and does not require external financing. The market reaction at merger announcement (-90 basis points) is significantly more negative than for non-overconfident CEOs (-12 basis points). We consider alternative interpretations including inside information, signaling, and risk tolerance. (C) 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.