Research guidelines for the Delphi survey technique

Research guidelines for the Delphi survey technique
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DOI:
10.1046/j.1365-2648.2000.01567.x
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发表时间:
2000-10-01
影响因子:
3.8
通讯作者:
McKenna, H
McKenna, H
中科院分区:
医学3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Hasson, F;Keeney, S;McKenna, H

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协商一致的方法,如德尔菲调查技术正在被用来帮助提高有效的决策,在卫生和社会保健。德尔菲调查是一种群体促进技术,是一个迭代的多阶段过程,旨在将意见转化为群体共识。这是一种灵活的方法,在健康和社会科学中常用,但很少有指导方针帮助研究人员进行这种数据收集方法。本文旨在提供一个理解的准备,行动步骤和困难,是内在的德尔菲。系统和严格地使用,德尔菲可以大大有助于扩大护理专业知识。然而,在使用该方法之前必须仔细考虑;必须解决围绕问题识别,研究人员技能和数据呈现的关键问题。这篇论文并不声称是权威性的;它旨在为那些希望利用德尔菲方法的研究人员提供指导。
Consensus methods such as the Delphi survey technique are being employed to help enhance effective decision-making in health and social care. The Delphi survey is a group facilitation technique, which is an iterative multistage process, designed to transform opinion into group consensus. It is a flexible approach, that is used commonly within the health and social sciences, yet little guidance exists to help researchers undertake this method of data collection. This paper aims to provide an understanding of the preparation, action steps and difficulties that are inherent within the Delphi. Used systematically and rigorously, the Delphi can contribute significantly to broadening knowledge within the nursing profession. However, careful thought must be given before using the method; there are key issues surrounding problem identification, researcher skills and data presentation that must be addressed. The paper does not claim to be definitive; it purports to act as a guide for those researchers who wish to exploit the Delphi methodology.