A coastal vulnerability assessment for planning climate resilient infrastructure
A coastal vulnerability assessment for planning climate resilient infrastructure
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DOI：
10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2018.06.007
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发表时间：
2018-09-01
影响因子：
4.6
通讯作者：
Plater, Andrew J.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Brown, Jennifer M.;Morrissey, Karyn;Plater, Andrew J.
英国沿海监测计划对过去和现在的沿海过程有了很好的了解。然而，沿海管理者面临气候变化的主要挑战之一是未来的沿海变化以及基础设施和社区对洪水的脆弱性。借鉴以脆弱性为主导和以决策为中心的框架（VL-DC），开发了决策支持工具（DST），该工具结合了新的观察和建模，以探索英国核能站点未来对海平面上升和风暴的脆弱性。 DST 中的这些数字预测与实物期权分析 (ROA) 相结合，为以下方面提供了重要支持：(i) 改进对极端事件的响应，以及 (ii) 建立气候变化抵御能力的战略。
There is a good understanding of past and present coastal processes as a result of coastal monitoring programmes within the UK. However, one of the key challenges for coastal managers in the face of climate change is future coastal change and vulnerability of infrastructure and communities to flooding. Drawing on a vulnerability-led and decision-centric framework (VL-DC) a Decision Support Tool (DST) is developed which, combines new observations and modelling to explore the future vulnerability to sea-level rise and storms for nuclear energy sites in Britain. The combination of these numerical projections within the DST and a Real Options Analysis (ROA) delivers essential support for: (i) improved response to extreme events and (ii) a strategy that builds climate change resilience.