Regional analysis of drought and heat impacts on forests: current and future science directions
Regional analysis of drought and heat impacts on forests: current and future science directions
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DOI：
10.1111/gcb.12651
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发表时间：
2014-12-01
影响因子：
11.6
通讯作者：
Law, Beverly E.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Law, Beverly E.
需要在区域一级准确评估森林对当前和未来气候和人类行动的反应。要预测未来对森林的影响，就需要改进对物种一级的适应性、复原力和死亡脆弱性的分析。土地系统模型可以通过创建基于特征的物种分组来增强，这些分组更好地代表气候敏感性，例如干旱导致的水力故障风险。这就强调需要更加协调地进行实地和遥感观测，以跟踪生态系统功能的变化，改进模型输入、时空诊断和对未来状况的预测，包括减缓气候变化行动的影响。
Accurate assessments of forest response to current and future climate and human actions are needed at regional scales. Predicting future impacts on forests will require improved analysis of species-level adaptation, resilience, and vulnerability to mortality. Land system models can be enhanced by creating trait-based groupings of species that better represent climate sensitivity, such as risk of hydraulic failure from drought. This emphasizes the need for more coordinated in situ and remote sensing observations to track changes in ecosystem function, and to improve model inputs, spatio-temporal diagnosis, and predictions of future conditions, including implications of actions to mitigate climate change.