Earthquake risk perception in Bucharest, Romania

Earthquake risk perception in Bucharest, Romania
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DOI:
10.1111/j.1539-6924.2006.00810.x
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发表时间:
2006-10-01
期刊:
影响因子:
3.8
通讯作者:
Armas, Iuliana
Armas, Iuliana
中科院分区:
医学3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Armas, Iuliana

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布加勒斯特市是世界上地震风险最高的首都之一。布加勒斯特特别容易受到地震灾害的影响,原因是:居民密度高,特别是在住宅区内的公寓楼;旧的公用事业基金;过时的基础设施;正在进行重组的众多工业园区,更不用说民防组织效率低下和对居民的地震风险教育不足。这项研究的目的是检查生活在布加勒斯特的地震危险的风险的人的态度和看法。我们感兴趣的是,态度和看法如何根据性别,年龄,教育,居住地区和社会经济地位,地震灾害的特点,风险暴露程度,危险程度和伤亡意识的差异。与此同时,我们将这项研究的结果与1997年以前的类似调查结果进行了比较。统计处理表明,地震风险的声明和独立变量的性别,年龄,教育水平,对住宅区的依恋程度,以及在何种程度上的主题认为他们可能会受到影响,并可以恢复他们的损失之间的显着差异。由于生活水平不断下降,最脆弱的是老年人口。对居住区的感觉是另一个对人口的地震危险感知具有统计意义的因素。强烈的情感纽带提供了一种安全感,并导致忽视甚至完全否认危险。在关于住宅类型、年龄和财产形式的自变量的情况下,经验值与理论分布的偏差与所搜索的相关性无关,这表明这个问题超出了上述标准。
The Municipality of Bucharest is one of the capitals with the highest seismic risk in the world. Bucharest is particularly vulnerable to seismic hazard due to: the high density of inhabitants, especially within the residential districts with blocks of flats; the old public utility fund; the out-of-date infrastructure; the numerous industrial parks that are undergoing a restructuring process, not to mention the inefficient organization of civil protection and poor education of the population regarding seismic risk. This research was designed to examine the attitudes and perceptions of people living with the risk of an earthquake hazard in Bucharest. We were interested in how attitudes and perceptions differ depending on gender, age, education, residential area and socioeconomic status, characteristics of seismic hazard, degree of risk exposure, degree of danger, and casualty awareness. At the same time, we compare the results of this study with those from a previous and similar enquiry in 1997. The statistical processing has indicated a significant difference between the declared perception of seismic risk and the independent variables of gender, age, level of education, level of attachment to the residential area, and degree to which the subjects consider they may be affected and could retrieve their losses. Due to the continuous decrease of their living standard, the most vulnerable is the aged population. The feelings toward the residential area is another factor of statistical significance for the population's seismic danger perception. A strong affective bond offers a feeling of safety and leads to the neglect and even total denial of the hazard. In the case of independent variables regarding the type of dwelling, its age, and property form, deviations of empiric values from the theoretical distribution are not relevant for the correlation searched for, which indicates that this issue goes beyond the above-mentioned criteria.