Predictability of Weather and Climate: Predictability past, predictability present

Predictability of Weather and Climate: Predictability past, predictability present
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天气和气候的可预测性:过去的可预测性,现在的可预测性

DOI:
10.1017/cbo9780511617652.010
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发表时间:
2006
期刊:
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Leonard A. Smith
Leonard A. Smith
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
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作者:
Leonard A. Smith

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近年来,天气和气候的可预测性主题在理解影响天气和气候的现象以及用于建模和预测它们的技术方面取得了显着进展。这本书汇集了一些世界领先的天气和气候预测专家。它解决了从理论到实践、时间尺度从几天到几十年的可预测性。其中包括天气现象的可预测性、海洋-大气耦合系统和人为气候变化等主题。用于预测可预测性的集合系统被广泛讨论。混沌理论之父埃德·洛伦兹(Ed Lorenz)发表了一篇之前未发表的论文,为理论分析做出了贡献。这本均衡的书将成为多年来的宝贵资源。高素质的章节作者和广泛的主题覆盖范围使其对对天气和气候预报以及环境科学感兴趣的人们(从研究生到研究人员)很有价值。
The topic of predictability in weather and climate has advanced significantly in recent years, both in understanding the phenomena that affect weather and climate and in techniques used to model and forecast them. This book brings together some of the world's leading experts on predicting weather and climate. It addresses predictability from the theoretical to the practical, on timescales from days to decades. Topics such as the predictability of weather phenomena, coupled ocean-atmosphere systems and anthropogenic climate change are among those included. Ensemble systems for forecasting predictability are discussed extensively. Ed Lorenz, father of chaos theory, makes a contribution to theoretical analysis with a previously unpublished paper. This well-balanced volume will be a valuable resource for many years. High-calibre chapter authors and extensive subject coverage make it valuable to people with an interest in weather and climate forecasting and environmental science, from graduate students to researchers.