A Model on Container Port Competition: An Application for the West European Container Hub-Ports
A Model on Container Port Competition: An Application for the West European Container Hub-Ports
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DOI：
10.1057/palgrave.mel.9100058
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发表时间：
2003-03
影响因子：
4.6
通讯作者：
S. Veldman;E. Bückmann
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
S. Veldman;E. Bückmann
全球集装箱运输服务网络，包括陆地和海上，正变得越来越细。在陆地一侧、海港的海陆交界处和转运港的班轮服务连接点，多式联运转运点的数量增加，导致地球仪上两个区域之间集装箱流动的路线选择越来越多。这一增长使预测港口集装箱吞吐量的传统方法变得复杂，因为传统方法是将港口直接与特定的腹地联系起来。在这里提出的方法中，港口被认为是一个节点的网络中的集装箱航线，其中使用某个港口的航线加起来港口的集装箱吞吐量。这里提出的模型是为了解释市场份额的港口的航线为每个交通区或地区，包括一个港口的潜在腹地。解释性变量包括运输成本、过境时间、服务频率和服务质量指标。一个logit模型被用来量化的路由选择，并从中得出一个需求函数，用于港口交通预测和集装箱港口项目的经济和财务评价。作者有机会校准logit模型的评估框架内的Maasvlakte-2集装箱港口扩建项目在鹿特丹港。
The worldwide network of container transport services, both on land and at sea, is becoming increasingly fine-meshed. The growth in the number of intermodal transfer points on the land side, at the sea–land interface in the seaports and at the connecting points of liner services in transhipment ports leads to an increasing number of routing options for a container flow between two regions somewhere on the globe. This increase complicates forecasting the container throughput of a port in the traditional way by linking it directly to a specific hinterland area. In the approach presented here, a port is considered as a nodal point in a network of container routings, where the routings using a certain port add up to the port's container throughput. The model presented here is intended to explain the market share of the port's routings for each of the traffic zones or regions that comprise a port's potential hinterland. Explanatory variables include transport cost, transit time, frequency of service and indicators of quality of service. A logit model is used to quantify the routing choice and to derive from that a demand function to be used for port traffic forecasting and for the economic and financial evaluation of container port projects. The authors had the opportunity to calibrate logit models in the framework of the evaluation of the Maasvlakte-2 container port expansion project in the port of Rotterdam.