The BUGS project: Evolution, critique and future directions
The BUGS project: Evolution, critique and future directions
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DOI：
10.1002/sim.3680
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发表时间：
2009-11-10
影响因子：
2
通讯作者：
Best, Nicky
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Lunn, David;Spiegelhalter, David;Best, Nicky
Bugs是一个使用Gibbs抽样进行贝叶斯推理的软件包。该软件有助于提高国际学术界和商界对贝叶斯建模的认识，并在其20年的生命周期中取得了相当大的成功。尽管如此，该软件仍有一些不足之处，本文的一个主要目的是提供一个平衡的批判性评估，特别是强调各种想法如何在产生负面副作用的同时带来前所未有的灵活性。我们还介绍了Bugs项目的历史概述和一些未来的展望。版权所有(C)2009 John Wiley&Sons，Ltd.
BUGS is a software package for Bayesian inference using Gibbs sampling. The software has been instrumental in raising awareness of Bayesian modelling among both academic and commercial communities internationally, and has enjoyed considerable Success over its 20-year life span. Despite this, the software has a number of shortcomings and a principal aim of this paper is to provide a balanced critical appraisal, in particular highlighting how various ideas have led to unprecedented flexibility while at the same time producing negative side effects. We also present a historical overview of the BUGS project and some future perspectives. Copyright (C) 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.